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Of course, it's likely the Ranger foiled a kill last Night - presumably for either Nerwen or Sally - and that pack would know a) that this is their window to finish that person off, and b) that in the case that the person they tried to kill was Sally, the Ranger would almost certainly be protecting Nerwen. The other pack, not knowing this, must of course go for Nerwen in this situation. If, on the other hand, the save last Night was Nerwen, I'm sure we'll have both packs pile onto her toNight. So I think we can probably assume that either Sally or Nerwen will die toNight. ;)
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Now that I think about it realised that I could have just revealed myself and then hoped the Ranger could protect one of us. Then again, I didn't know if the Ranger's still alive. So yeah, it all come down to how I hated not knowing anything.</notJonSnow> So anyway, who are we uncloaking (heh) toNIGHT? |
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Anyway, choosing tonight's scry will now be easier for us as we don't need to worry about yesterday's lynch. I'm also inclined to think Lalaith is a good plan. |
I suppose the Village will be terribly curious and assume we'll scry Nilp? :D
Problem is they have too many unknowns, more than they can give us voting options for (Nog, Rune, Rikae, Lalaith, Nilp). So they'll have to cut at least someone- maybe two. Since it's been so long I would guess they'd cut Rune from the list first, particularly as his identity means so little in terms of voting & suspicion. So I'd say he's entirely off the table. Nilp is off the table for us, but maybe not for them (depending on what happens tomorrow/tonight etc.). Mac and/or Lottie- do you think Lalaith is a competing Wolf and want to find out if your opponent lost a member during the night? |
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Anyway, past my bedtime. I'll be around for the final 8 hours or so.
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I'm at work and have stuff in the evening so I can't contribute massively today. |
Congrats for making it here Nilp - and welcome!
The darker side of all this is that you have to spend here one Day-phase (checked the rules again just to be sure) - so it means Sally will have to survive two Nights. Add to that the wolves have 24 hours to notice there is no lynch in the narration (no thunk or chop!) and they have Sally's revelation... :( But thumbs up for her to make it somehow. After all the confusion the result of our voting was pretty decent (voting Nerwen would have naturally ended the same way as she didn't vote) so all's well that ends well. But I'm somewhat confused why the Living don't seem to get it we can't all wait for the DL (5am in Finland fex.) or that we have a bunch of wolves here causing all kind of problems. Now I must admit I'm really looking forwards who'll join us after the Night is over! This game seems to be finally gathering some momentum. This has been like this season in the GoT: first cool to open, then getting a bit lame until starting to gear up towards the end. :cool: |
Wellcome, Nilp-san!
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But anyway, special thanks to the phantom for saving the day *glares at Mac and Lottie* Quote:
Anyway, as for our check, I am also for Lalaith, like I said earlier. Nilp's coming here makes things much easier in that respect. And I really hope Nilp makes it (resp sally makes it) for long enough to go back. Let's hope. |
++Lalaith
I'd prefer to know her role sooner rather than later, especially as I won't be around a lot today. That way at least we can do some constructive analysis. |
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http://i3.photobucket.com/albums/y62...pspkqixtyc.png |
No you didn't. My house looks nothing like that.
However, now somebody in the suburbs of Richmond, Virginia (judging from the housing style) will be very confused waking up this morning to having ++Kuruharan spray painted on their garage...and that's kinda funny. EDIT: I'm surprised nobody make an uncloaking joke before now. |
List of possible checking-candidates in some kind of order (from least reasonable to the most reasonable).
A Little Green (Prey) - A mod-comfirmed goodie Legate of Amon Lanc (Prey) - A mod-comfirmed goodie Aganzir - All the facts known to us point at her being the hunter. Nilpaurion Felagund - Self-confessed lover who's role will be known if he goes back to the Living thread in 72 hours. Loslote - Self-confessed wolf. Macalaure - Wolf named by Nerwen and somewhat comfirmed by his own actions. Rune Son of Bjarne - No reason to think this or that, but totally vanishing makes one to think him an ordo - also very little to learn from his alignment. Nogrod - An ordo known to himself to be one, not very much to learn from his alignment, but mayhaps the D1 -wagon (well you'd know it was a wagon between an ordo and most probably a hunter) Firefoot - Ordo by Nerwen in stronger terms than the phantom ("pretty sure" vs. "looks"), then again there are both grounded suspicions and a wolf's head-on attack to consider. Might be good to check Nerwen's actual role first (so not checking her toNight)? the phantom - If Nerwen is the seer (or someone receiving the dreams) it is possible he's a known (or guessed) innocent, but there is an amount of confusion there (like this riddle-stuff & al.) I wouldn't establish at any rate right now. Seeing how he dances around the DL and so vehemently trusted by some it might be good to know for sure (but Nerwen's role might shed light on him as well so maybe not toNight?). Rikae - Could be anything with a longer trail in the thread than people above her in the list. A decently good pick. Lalaith - The most enigmatic one and a long trail. One of our best bets. Conclusion: I'm okay with Lalaith and Rikae, could be persuaded to tp or Firefoot but might wish to see my arguments (could wait for Nerwen's role) beaten before that. |
No point in sitting on it then.
++Lalaith |
Yesterday was obviously a good day to miss. What a mess. I'm more or less caught up on both threads and agree that Lalaith is probably our best bet toNight.
Also, if the Living keep leaving their voting plans that late, I'm not sure I can risk voting in the first place. YesterDay could have been a disaster (thanks guys for handling it that well!), and toMorrow might be worse especially if we have more than two known wolvsies in here by then. I second Agan - Nilp my dear, do scold them for us if you go back, won't you? :Merisu: Incidentally, does someone have an up-to-date list of known and unknown roles, both living and dead? I think I'm in need of one, but feel too lazy to make one :D EDIT: x-ed with Nog and Firefoot! Yay, company! |
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I'm holding my vote still before a few more voices gather around even if it feels pretty straightforward toNight - but if there is a major argument yet to come by someone we haven't yet realised I wouldn't like to cast my vote quite yet.
That said, I'd really appreciate getting to bed in some actually decent time tonight. I felt I went out soo early yesterday (almost feeling guilty) - but it was already 1.30am here then. So maybe a bit earlier today - especially if there is no big thing going on about anything major... |
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EDIT: You can check the dead on my post above. |
++Lalaith
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The Dead
Unknown: Nogrod Rune Son of Bjarne Rikae Lalaith Wolves: Loslote Macalaure Innocents (?): the phantom (hinted at by Nerwen) Firefoot (likewise) Nilpaurion Felagund (self-proclaimed Lover, I guess we'll find out soon enough) Aganzir (probable Hunter) A Little Green (Prey) Legate of Amon Lanc (Prey) The Living Possibly have a role: satansaloser2005 (self-proclaimed Lover) Boromir88 (self-proclaimed Itch-Man) Nerwen (self-proclaimed PM-receiver/psychic/something?) Confused about these three (some of the villagers seemed to think Nerwen had cleared them or at least asked not to vote for them, but I read Nerwen's post about them as personal opinion rather than relayed information): Thinlómien Eomer of the Rohirrim Shastanis Althreduin Other living things: Formendacil McCaber mormegil Mithalwen Kath Am I up to date with this? I skimmed more than read parts of both threads so I might be missing something. EDIT: x-ed with Lottie |
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Btw, Legate-san, were you the one who taught Lommy the word 'kawaii'? If so... Was about to make a list for Greenie, but I see she already did that. Hers is way more detailed, so I'll not post mine. (We basically have the same information, except I put Nerwen's DAY 4 'forgotten' trio (Shasta, Lommy, Aimé) in my 'Innocent Alive' subheading. And I could be illiterate.) Nigh 2 AM now in Southeast Asia, so I'm hitting the sack. Will cast my vote the next morning. EDIT: X'ed with Noggie, DAY 3 -> DAY 4 |
Greenie: Looks pretty much as it stands. With the reservation on the three some people thought were "cleared". I'm just trying to understand that thing myself as well...
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Well, for reasons given previously:
++Lalaith Sadly I doubt Sally will make it through two nights and give Nilp the chance to yell at the living for us... but who knows. |
Nerwen's seer / PM-receiver -run
On the Day before yesterDay She doesn’t want Sally lynched and curses their need of information several times. She asks the view of others first on Lottie alone, then on nilp and Lottie, on Eomer and Firefoot, and finally on Boro and late-Macalaure (all duets in separate posts). THen in the infamous post #500 she tells having received a PM telling Lottie & Mac are wolves and says she doesn't know anything else but that she received the PM from the mod. YesterDay She goes on posting as a normal villager (with a few remarks to her odd-role though) aka. making specualtions on posts (fex. suspecting Lalaith) when suddenly dropping the Quote:
Formendacil McCaber mormegil Nilpaurion Felagund Mithalwen Kath Which list then leaves Lommy, Eomer and Shasta unaccounted for. She then actually anwers morm's question of leaving then out with: Quote:
Only after that she makes this posting: Quote:
So what to think of it all? I'll think about it in a separate message. |
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Just thinking then.
She gives us two wolves (more or less confirmed by their actions) on one Day (one already dead, one living as she declared them). The next Day she gives us one innocent (who thence died by Night), more or less gives other three by ignorance (leaving them out of the list of where to find the wolves & jokingly defending them when asked) and as an extra one long dead innocent. That makes 7 - among them both dead and living (at the time she mentioned them) or just four (2 dead, 2 living) but with fex. tp dying already on N2 it doesn't seem to make sense. I'm not sure what to make of this. If she is the Seer this is superb playing, walking the tightrope between giving as much info as possible (from 8 dreams) while remaining an enigma to the wolves... well to everyone. Other option of course is that she is of a more sinister kind and either has some info or just got lucky with at least Lottie. What kind of bothers me is that if we should read her posting as her revealing 7 roles it's interesting only two of them were dead when she claimed them (Mac the Night just before and tp on the first game-Night). With half the population here in the Dead Thread you'd think the dreams would have fallen a bit more evenly (even if the seer of course can decide every Night not to pick any already dead) - or maybe the maths work in some other way my intuition would tell me. Also it is interesting that she first wails very strongly the lack of information and suddenly starts to produce it, a lot. I hope she is the seer but I'm not totally convinced she is one (that's good actually if she is one, it means she is playing it well). Btw. could it be possible there was such a role-messing that the seer would be a different person every Night but there would be one mouthpiece who'd receive all the dreams? Well, of course it is possible, but could it explain something, like the lack of a more "normal" seer-revelation? :) |
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And forgot to mention, I am basically also for checking Lalaith toNight. My preferences are basically in the same order as Nog listed them. |
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Now it can be changed (4/10), with one more there is the haunted chance of a tie, with two more votes it's a done deal. |
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So we're 12. Forget my calculations on the post above. 4/12 now for Lalaith. |
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At least I'm not the only one who can't count after death! I don't think Kuru is making any effort to preserve our brains. All he had to do was throw 'em in a freezer, how hard is that?
Incidentally... whenever I see the title of this thread, I have to think of: http://skyrimfansite.com/wp-content/...Vanity-Pet.gif |
Bedtime!
++ Lalaith |
Back. I'll try to get caught up over the next half hour.
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:p |
Living A: This is the second time we're not getting any info from the dead.
Living B: Yeah, I wish I knew what's going on over there. Living A: Maybe there's a ton of wolves in there, making it hard. Living B: But if the wolves managed to tie the vote twice, how can we tell whether the innocents voted as intended on Day 3? Living A: I don't think we can. We shouldn't take Greenie's innocence for granted. Maybe Legate was the seer after all! Living B: Then again, with so many wolves over there, it looks like we've almost won the game. Living A: I think so, too, it's looking pretty good. Living B: So, are we going to write another one of those lists up toDay? Living A: Meh, why bother. :p |
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Now, I could still be persuaded to check you though. ;) Ooo, and look at that- Lottie voted for Lalaith. Doesn't it warm your heart to see us finding some common ground with the fury folk? More in a bit... |
NERWEN DREAMS: (order guessed)
Night 1- Phantom, Shasta Night 2- Boro, Lottie Night 3- Mac, Lommy Night 4- Firefoot, Eomer DREAM INNOCENT: Phantom Shasta Boro Lommy Firefoot Eomer SCRY INNOCENT: Green Legate ASSUMED INNOCENT: Nerwen Nilp Sally Agan WOLVES: Lottie Mac UNKNOWN DEAD: Lalaith Nog Rikae UNKNOWN LIVING: Morm Form Mith Kath McCaber |
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Seeing as I do that this time Lottie went quite unseremoniously and with zero-banter quickly just into voting might of course talk of Rikae being someone we should rather check - but getting thus steered by a wolf probably isn't the brightest idea especially if we hold our capability of making a vote dear. With 2 out of 3 of our known innocents voting already I'd not like to start any new scheming at this point unless urgently necessary because of some really vital info - oh well, just a minute with Mac yet around and Rune possibly not I think the time of lsitening to any new ideas is actually over. Therefore ++ Lalaith |
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