The Saucepan Man |
08-26-2005 07:03 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lalaith
Tell me about it, SaucepanMan.
|
Well, my suspicions of you did lessen. And I had half a mind to you possibly being the Seer. Despite in being "in character", the reference in your first post to foresight got me thinking (always a dangerous thing ... ).
Well, I have assembled some edited highlights of my copious notes. Some of the comments are rather amusing with the benefit of hindsight, so I thought that I'd share them. Italicised comments have been added ex post facto.
Quote:
Day 1
#1 Gurthang defends Werewolves - but just ‘in character’ comments. Or intentionally acting suspiciously? Cobbler?
#9 lmp votes hastily for Gurthang. Perhaps he cannot post again this Day. But why then just not vote?
#14 Enca is antagonistic - intentionally suspicious - Cobbler?
#26 Mithalwen defends her forced voting pattern rather too forcefully, given what I said.
|
Quote:
Day 2
#84 Lalaith asks whether the Seer can identify the Bear (answer – yes) – might she be the Seer? Or the Bear? (That comment got me thinking about Lalaith being the Seer too.)
#94 Gil-Galad does little to defend himself – strange if he is a Wolf. Cobbler?
#110 CaptainofDespair agrees that Laitaine may be the Bear. Bearish behaviour to accuse many? And to jump on the suggestion that somoen else may be the Bear? (That was what started me on the CaptainofDespair wild goose-chase!)
#128 CaptainofDespair - “Go ahead and lynch me - you’ll be sorry”. Another 2 will die - could be the Ranger (if not the Bear). (Yes, he was the Ranger you idiot!)
#134 Durelin supports SpM’s theory on CoD being Bear (arrgh! - perhaps she is!!).
#138 COD votes for SPM - confirms my suspicions - jumps on SamwiseGamgee’s suspicion and a knee-jerk against my voicing suspicion of him.
#150 Desperate defence by CoD? Now openly suggesting that he is gifted. Maybe he is - if so, he’s a goner tonight.
#160 Durelin votes for SpM for fitting his own noted likely pattern of Bear behaviour! (This made me chuckle.)
|
Quote:
Night 3 Hunter reasoning
Likely targets:
Lalaith – difficulty is, she just may be the Seer. She talks of having foresight (her character possibly offering good cover for her secret role). Question re Bear/Seer. Or she could be a Shirriff with Laitaine.
Laitaine – her Day 1 voting and mild defence of Mithalwen is a cause for concern. And she would be a neat fit with Lalaith for a Wolvish pair.
Durelin – lot of accusations against her. Could that be the Wolves, setting her up for a fall? If she’s a Wolf, they are unlikely to kill me tonight – too obvious. But if not, they may kill me to frame her. She may be the Bear, though.
Gil-Galad – I’m now pretty sure that he’s either the Cobbler or simply a confused but innocent Villager. (Doh!)
The other possibility is a Firefoot/arcticstorm pairing “flying under the radar”. Articstorm makes lots of accusations, but rarely backs them up. The only time he did was his accusation of Laitaine as a Bear. But why would they have voiced such suspicion of Mithalwen on the first Day? There was just too much other suspicion around her at that time. They would have had to have been very bold Wolves. They are more likely to be the Shirriffs. (Quite proud of that spot.)
Increasingly suspicious of LMP as the Bear. But he might be the Seer …
|
Quote:
Day 3
#194 Arcticstorm suspects Gil-Galad and Durelin of Wolvery and thinks LMP may be the Bear (a good analysis to reach that conclusion). He may be the Bear diverting suspicion, but I tend to think that he’s the remaining Shirriff.
#207 Dancing spawn points at Durelin and Lalaith and airs a few ideas – but she is really saying very little. Dang that girl! She’s making me more suspicious of her with every post. ( :D This was quite frustrating, because I really wanted to believe her innocent.)
#211 LMP pooh poohs SpM’s “Werebear” analysis and suggests concentrating on the Wolves (as well he might …). Mildly hints at SpM being the Bear while also saying he believes me innocent.
#216 Boromir88 suggests not pointing out “Wolfish” or “Bearish” behaviour. He suggest that he has other motives in his “diversionary” posts. Does he recognise me as the Hunter? Or is he trying to protect the Seer? Or is it all bluff? (No, he was the Seer. :rolleyes: )
#228 arcticstorm reveals himself as the other Shirriff. Hurrah! I got something right at last!
#237 G-G wonders whether he might be being framed. He probably is. Actually, looking at who has accused him today - probably not. Maybe he is just a “guileless Wolf” as LMP put it.
#242 SamwiseGamgee suggest lynching arcticstormn to deny the Wolves a safe kill!!!! ‘Tis a silly plan. We lose two innocents for the price of one. Thankfully, there follow some posts rejecting it. (Sorry Samwise.)
#253 Durelin votes for Boromir88 as either Wolf or Bear. (Doh! He’s so not a Wolf.) (But then, she was the Cobbler.)
#257 SamwiseGamgee suggests that arcticstorm will look guilty if he survives the Night. Now that’s just wrong-headed. And giving the lycanthropes ideas. (Sorry again, Samwise. ;) )
|
Quote:
Night 4 Hunter thoughts
On Night 4, I put into effect my soon to be patented Wolf-tracking system, rather a crude method which involved listing everything that pointed toward guilt, everything that pointed towards innocence, weighting them and the tallying the scores. I concentrated on Durelin, Lalaith, Laitaine, dancing spawn and LMP, my main suspects at that point. The scores worked out at:
Durelin: 3
Lalaith: 3
Laitaine: 12
Dancing Spawn: 8
LMP: 6
So, while undoubtedly crude, it actually proved pretty useful.
Hunter victim:
Either Laitaine or dancing spawn – probably go for Laitaine on basis dancing spawn should be questioned tomorrow if Boromir88 does not clear her.
|
Quote:
Day 4
#275 LMP posts quickly with one he prepared earlier. Points at dancing spawn and Nonnacedak as the Wolf and Lalaith and dancing spawn as the Bear. Votes for dancing spawn. He’s all over the place. (Sorry, LMP.)
#281 Gurthang suggests that LMP may be the Cobbler. He may be right. A Bear probably wouldn’t say that of the prime Bear suspect. (Well actually, you old fool, he turned out to be the Bear ...)
#283 LMP stoutly defends. He’s being much too defensive here. If he is the Cobbler, perhaps he hopes to gain today’s votes.
#296 Dancing spawn also suspects LMP as the Cobbler, but is saying very little else!!! I wish that she (or the Seer) would convince me of her innocence. (Unfortunately, no one ever did.)
#299 LMP rants about how he's innocent, everything he says is leading us the wrong way and how we might as well vote for him, though he's apparently not the Cobbler. (This one gets my vote for best post of the game.)
|
Quote:
Day 5
#360 Boromir88 is not too worried about Nonnacedak. Hmm - is that a hint? (Yes it was. Why didn't you pick up on it you dolt?)
#361 Menel votes for SamwiseGamgee. Why? He has not mentioned him before as ye suspecte.
#366 Durelin votes for The Saucepan Man. Foolish girl. Probably not the Bear. (Not so foolish, given her role.)
#372 LMP reckons Nonnacedak is the Cobbler. That’s just ludicrous. (Well ... it was.)
|
Quote:
Night 6 Hunter reasoning
Well, either I go for Meneltarmacil or LMP, and hope whoever I go for, if the Bear, takes a punt on trying to kill me. Or I bank on the fact that neither Menel nor LMP, if either is the Bear, will dare attack me and go for someone else.
But who?
Well, I have gone for SamwiseGamgee for his uncharacteristically late vote when he was in the frame. Wouldn’t it be great if he was the Bear and tried to take the opportunity to knock me off to-Night …? (Yes, it would have been great. But it was not to be.)
It’s not much but, other than Menel and LMP, it’s the best I’ve got.
Oh well, let’s see …
|
Quote:
Day 6
#381 Boromir88 is looking for a quiet Bear and names Gurthang. (So why didn't you listen to him? You thought he might be the Seer, didn't you!!??)
#384 Gurthang suspects Boromir88 for his vote yester-Day. Suggests a mass lynching presided over by the Cobbler.
#385 SpM points out that the Cobbler is unlikely to co-operate. Notes that he could preside over a mass lynching – they must know I’m the Hunter by now, surely? (Seems only the Wolves had picked up on that.)
#386 Durelin wants to lynch SpM or Boromir88. Why? Surely she’s the Cobbler. Just look at her record on voting for Wolves. (At last, I got something else right.)
#388 Boromir88 drops his hints again. Bold Bear strategy? Seer? Or something else? Suspects Gurthang (but mildly - based on Day 1 and subsequent appearance of innocence) and Menel (ref to SpM’s reasoning).
#396 Durelin owns up to being the Cobbler. Which means, of course, she could be the Bear … Aiiiieeeeeeee!!!! (Paranoia is a dreadful thing.)
#412 Boromir88 is the Seer (he’s very unlikely to be the Bear bluffing). (But you still thought he might be, didn't you ...?)
|
|