Quote:
Originally Posted by Kent2010
But maybe it's the best time to be overt, because how seriously do people take Day 1? You said yourself Day 1, on Day 1 is virtually useless, and becomes useful after the fact.
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Well, I'm willing to leave you the caveat that a cobbler
might do such a thing. I just don't see it as at all likely. My difficulty with your theory is that it requires a lot more foreknowledge of what is going to come--and who's who--than a Cobbler is likely to possess. Which is not the say that
Kuru could not make an exceptionally smart cobbler--he's no dunce--but we're talking about prescience here. There simply wasn't enough talking going on prior to
Kuru being accused of cobblery for him to have identified the wolves. And even if by some miracle he HAD identified them, he'd also have to know all of our characters really well to know how things were going to play out. That's where being a new player is an advantage--
Kuru might have me figured backwards and forwards, but not you.
Basically, I just cannot envision a cobbler willfully drawing attention to himself on Day 1, except
possibly to just wreak general havoc and leaving us wondering--but that would be a strategic loss to Team Wolf, since this cobbler actually has a one-time power. Far better, it would seem, to wait until he has a chance to use that one-time block and actually save wolfish lives than to throw it away at the beginning on the random chance of havoc.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Kuruharan
Comments? Any further possibilities why Aganzir was the target last night?
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One hugely important thing that might be involved is that whoever the wolves select as their nighttime kill has the potential, if an ordo, to become the new member of their pack, rather than supper. Granted, it's a one-in-six chance, but at this point in the game, when perhaps none of them are under suspicion, they picked a supper victim who would have the greatest chance of NOT being identified as a potential victim if we all woke up today, and no one was dead.
To put it in other words, perhaps the wolves decided that, if
Aganzir was
converted to their side, and we woke up today with no one missing from our midst, she'd be the last one we'd look for as a
converted new wolf, simply because she had been so conspicuous yesterday, and thus the sort of noisy person that wolves leave around to keep the heat off themselves.
I'm hardly wedded to this, but it's the best theory that offers something rather than just random confusion as the answer--at least to my mind.