Bombadil is indeed one merry fellow. Bomberiffic, I think you have made some very good points- very well thought out.
Although it is undeniable that Tolkien put no deliberate alagories into the text, it is entirely possible that allagories slipped in. After all, most characters (not just in LOTR), have some sort of real world basis, even if that basis is obscure and specific to the author.
The fact that Tom was brought to LOTR from another piece of Tolkiens writing emphasises furthur the significance of Bombadil. It is likely that Tolkien had other ideas for characters that never made it to middle earth.
-Nicoli
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