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But remember that it is a quote from Gandalf and not Sauron
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Oh, I remember. The fact that Gandalf said it is my entire point. Gandalf didn't know what he was talking about.
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but what I have understood from them is that Sauron thought that his Ring was lost
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I agree with you, and if we're right then Gandalf was very wrong. That's why I started wondering if we can trust a single thing that Gandalf and the other good guys say about Sauron?
(not saying they're meaning to lie, just that they're extremely misinformed, I would imagine Sauron is very good at the counter-intelligence/misdirection sort of thing and perhaps the good guys were in a worse predicament than we ever thought, I mean, being clueless about your enemy is pretty bad)