I so respect your logic Mr. Wight, though not on this bit of reasoning you've spoken.
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3) aina waits for a person to get several votes before casting her vote
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You're observations are very correct about me, I do wait to see what the majority vote is. Why? The Democratic flaw has always been that those who vote for people less popular and most likely not to get voted in (or dead in this case) have "wasted their vote" because it didn't go towards making an important decision. In most democratic votes (at least where I'm from) this doesn't matter too much. However, if my inklings (which aren't backed up by any fact save Nim) were broadcasted, and especially if they were right, than surely I would become a dangerous target.
Notice also how the one who has supected me from the beginning was a werewolf! I'm not out to get those who suspect me, tightening the noose around my neck, only to convince them that I'm exactly who I say I am.