I don't think that Roverandom was not meant to be taken seriously, but I cannot conceive of how dragons coming from the moon would fit in with Middle Earth at all. If you have read the Silmarillion, then I am sure you know that in Middle Earth the moon is simply a light-bearing sphere that is driven across the earth in the opposite direction of the chariot of the Sun. I cannot see how dragons could come upon the moon or originate from the moon, which would have to be the case if Roverandom was meant to take place in the same existence (although, granted, at a different time) as Middle Earth.
I think all of Tolkien's other works were meant to be less realistic than those pertaining to Middle Earth. One might consider them to be Tolkien's 'fairy tales' told in Middle Earth, just as we have Tolkien's 'fairy tales' about Middle Earth.
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...where the instrument of intelligence is added to brute power and evil will, mankind is powerless in its own defence.
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