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Old 06-22-2005, 07:17 AM   #82
Evisse the Blue
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I did some more thinking on the phantom's plan. I'm not good with numbers, so I'll stay out of that department.
Now, I think the phantom may have presented this plan in good faith. However
I'm quite astonished at the fact that he actually expected anyone of us to volunteer to be lynched. As far as I know, none of our fellow villagers is suicidal, or a martyr. And everyone of us serves a purpose, for instance, if you kill me, who's gonna bake cookies for you lot?
Let's suppose one of us did volunteer, today and on the following day, and they'd be done away with like sacrificial lambs. What are the rest of us going to do? Just sit back and watch? Inocents and werewolves alike? Come on, the werewolves would probably be doing their nails (claws), watching us do their work for them, and doing or saying nothing to incriminate them. And let's say the Seer does get to dream three nights in a row. What are the chances of him/her dreaming of a werewolf especially if there are no suspicions whatsoever to base their dreams on? And their actually dreaming of a werewolf would be the only benefit we could draw from this situation. If they only dream of inocents, there'll be no way for them to present us with this information and they'll die in vain, without providing even that little support.
Also the Shiriffs and the Hunter especially will have by that third day when the voluntary lynchings will stop, very little to go on, so they won't be able to do much to help the village. And by the third night, when the villager population decreases significantly, the wolves would have increased odds of doing away with those important people, just when they would have begun to make themselves useful.
So this is how I support my initial disagreement of the plan.

I don't dismiss the possibility that the 'plan' was a bluff orchestrated by the phantom and Fea (they certainly seem like the types, these two ) but even if they did that, I think it may have been put forth to study our reactions to it, and not because they're werewolves trying to snare us. As I said before, the plan was doomed from the start because no one in their right mind was going to volunteer.

My suspects at the moment are: Oddwen (her brief statement quite unsettled me), Imp (way too merry at such a sad time - the nerve! , was ready to support phantom's plan but then also supported Fea, and picks obsesively on Eomer without anything to go on but that over discussed Freudian slip). I'd also be inclined to suspect Lalaith because her voting on the basis of who was more/less vocal seems a bit superficial to me, and even more so, randomly picking out of an artificial category....hmm. But I can somehow understand her confusion because there I'm in complete darkness as well.
If I were to cast people into categories, I'd do it on a different criterion, (though I won't guarantee for its objectiveness); that criterion being: are you really saying something, or just making small talk. (Small talk can take up lots of space too, so being very vocal hardly means in my view, being inocent).
It's this blurryness of sides I find unsettling.
I won't hurry to cast a vote yet because I want to hear from Anguirel and Esgalhugwen so I can get a complete picture.
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