[the phantom]

Who to lynch? That is the question.

My suspicion of the phantom is lessening

At this point, the phantom, Fea and Eomer are at the bottom of my suspect list

First, thank you for viewing me as innocent.

Second, if too many people believe I am innocent then the wolves will probably kill me sometime soon, seeing as it is to their advantage to keep mainly suspicious people around.

But that's okay.

Yet his own behaviour has been the opposite of risk-adverse. He has been running the risk - if of course he is himself a non-werewolf - of being identified, rightly or wrongly, by the werewolves as a gifted villager.

Indeed, I have. This is mainly to be a thorn in the wolves' side.

Werewolf One- "Should we kill Phantom? He appears to be a gifted villager."
Werewolf Two- "No, you idiot, he's doing that on purpose to protect the seer, and since many people think he is innocent and perhaps gifted the guardian will probably be guarding him tonight. It might prove disasterous to try to kill him."
Werewolf Three- "But what if he's double bluffing? That'd be just like him. He probably is the seer or guardian hiding right out in the open."
Werewolf Two- "And if he is the guardian like you say he'll probably be guarding himself since he figures the wolves will try to kill him. No- going after him is too risky."
Werewolf One- "Grrr. He is so annoying. I don't care, Werewolf 2, I say we kill him!"

And the fact that I have admitted my intentions just now won't change anything. In fact, it might just add more fuel to the fire in the minds of the wolves.

Well, since no brave soul stepped forward, we will have to pick a lynching suspect. Perhaps we should look at the reaction to my plan.

Part of what I'm going to say is based on the assumption that the wolves are not communicating during the day, since they are NOT supposed to talk to each other during the day. *glares at werewolves* You'd better not be breaking the rules.

When presented with my plan, the most likely wolf reactions would be-
1) Huh? What in the world? How should I respond? Is this a trap? I'm too scared to respond, it might be some sort of trick. I should wait for Werewolf Two to say something and follow his lead.
2) Huh? What in the world? How should I respond? Is this a trap? I'm too scared to respond, it might be some sort of trick. I'm not going to post at all. I'll just pop in at the very end of the day and say something to avoid automatically getting killed by the non-participation rule.
3) Oh joy! This plan would make sure that I don't die today or tomorrow! Woo hoo! I approve.

Keep those reactions in mind and go back and see if you see any of those patterns.

Concerning pattern #1, could Azalia have been following Fea's lead?

Concerning pattern #3, perhaps Kath is indeed a good choice for lynching. But the thing is, innocents would approve to if they recognized the odds.

Pattern #2 is the most intriguing. I am very suspicious of those who have not posted yet- Ang and Esgal. If they pop in between now and the deadline then they fit into pattern three quite nicely.

In addition, the wolves probably figured it was likely that a lynching candidate would emerge from amongst the villagers who were present for most of the debate. Isn't that usually the case with such things? Therefore, perhaps they thought a good strategy would be to allow a candidate to be picked and receive a vote or two, and then pop on to avoid getting killed by the non-participation rule, and of course make some excuse for not being here sooner.

I have some extremely urgent work to do- the Smiths have a sick child I need to attend to- so I will have to cast my vote now.

+ + Esgallhugwen

Maybe Ang and Esgal aren't wolves but they certainly aren't helping our position by staying so silent. If they don't get a post in very soon they will automatically be killed anyway, so perhaps we might as well kill one of them? Then again, a wolf would not allow himself/herself to be killed like that, so watch and see if they show up at the last minute.