Here are my thoughts on the hidden wolves:
the phantom offers his plan to lynch an innocent villager who does not possess 'special powers'. He does not offer himself. There's a slight chance that he is a self-serving hypocrite who thinks that he can be the one exception out of the ordinary villagers, but that's probably only a slight chance.
He is basically coming out into the open,
right at the start of the game, and telling everyone that he is a gifted villager or a werewolf.
If the werewolves honestly didn't pick that up then I'm sorry for being so damn sensible in public, and they will kill him tonite anyway. But it's not my fault; the phantom himself put out this thinly veiled message.
Why didn't the werewolves kill the phantom? It's quite possible that they put little thought into their selection. It's quite possible that they just overlooked the phantom's claim and decided to keep him alive as a useful and troublemaking
loudmouth.
However, it's also quite possible that the phantom himself is one of the furry fiends.
(I realise that if you take my advice we will probably end up lynching a Seer-phantom. Well, we have little else to go on. If that happens then by all means, lynch me for being so pathetically wrong.)
Saurreg offered a little
"O, well done old boy! It's nice to see someone thinking about the good of the village, even though the plan itself isn't perfect." Clearly, the werewolf's way of protecting his ally yet keeping him at arm's length.
It fits together. (And yes, I am aware that just about every theory 'fits together' and that coherentism is a rubbish theory of truth.)
But there you have my two suspects:
the phantom and Saurreg.
If yesterday was anything to go by, don't listen to me.
But realise that if the phantom is innocent, the werewolves will kill him tonite if we don't lynch him. So we won't actually lose anything (except, perhaps, the phantom's occasional jovial nature!
)