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To my detractors I tell this to you; I am not a werewolf and you should all stop eyeing me. I did not vote in my last post before the lynching quite simply because I did not know that we had only a few minutes left, I thought we had two more hours to hear more arguments and detect any arguing and voting patterns. On my screen the time is now reflected as of typing is GMT 1252 am. So go figure...
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After seeing this, I would suggest leaving
Saurreg alone for the time being.
Not voting is the main reason we have to accuse
Saurreg, but there were TEN other people who did not vote, so this hardly sets him apart.
Wouldn't you prefer to lynch someone who has more solid evidence against them (in the way of theories and such)?
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phantom, based on what evidence we do have, your argument makes some sense (except it's not true, since I'm not a wolf
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Well, my theory left room for you not to be a wolf since I named four people (
Eomer,
Oddwen,
Feanor, and you).
Remember earlier today when I said this-
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If Eomer is a wolf, then it is very likely that either Esgal, Oddwen, or Saurreg is also a wolf (I suspect Esgal the most of these three, mainly because I haven't heard from her). You see, Eomer popped in at the end to break a five-way tie. Even though his name was one of the names on the list, a smart wolf would have voted for a sixth person and taken five innocents with them to the grave. Five innocents is too juicy a prize to pass up. The only way a wolf would break a five-way tie is if there was another wolf besides himself on the list, because killing four innocents is not worth the price of two out of three wolves.
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That reasoning would agree with my theory of
Oddwen being a wolf. It seems to me that
Eomer's death might be the most useful in determining other wolves. What do you think?
Good thoughts,
lmp. I'd like to answer a couple of questions you asked.
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Second. Just a suggestion. Wouldn't the Seer be more effective if still alive toward the end of the game when the chances of dreaming of a werewolf are a better odds?
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Yes.
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Wouldn't it be therefore better if the Seer remained silent early?
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Not necessarily.
If the seer is quiet and then gets killed, there is no way of knowing what dreams the seer had. And seer dreams are the most valuable thing that a village can possibly be given.
Because of that, staying quiet is a huge risk.
It will probably keep the wolves off the seer's back at night since they won't suspect him/her to be the seer, but it might get the seer lynched during the day.
If the seer decides to be quiet, then the seer would definitely want to keep a close eye on things particularly at the end of the day and if it looks like his/her life is going to be ended by the votes of the village, he/she should immediately divulge all of the information in his/her possesion.
So- being quiet keeps the seer safe from the wolves, but it could be disasterous if the seer is killed without leaving us any clues.