The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - Tol-in-Gaurhoth IV (The Saga, erm, Still Continues...)

littlemanpoet · 06-25-2005, 05:29 PM

As I showed in post #150, everybody but everybody seemed like they could be either lupine or innocent. That tells me that the wolves are doing a great job of covering their identities. Saurreg seemed guilty to me based on his day one voting record, but the phantom's good word in S's direction is indication of his likely innocence, not to mention S's likely status as a shirriff. What about day 2's votes?

As I made quite clear in my vote post, I was trying to avoid a tie, especially since I didn't think Oddwen was a werewolf. So of my list of three suspects, I voted for Eomer because (1) he was on my personal suspect list, and (2) there was building consensus against him. If the consensus had been building against Saurreg instead, I would have voted for him without apology, for the same reasons.

There are, however, two individuals who worked to get Oddwen up even with Eomer, and that concerns me. Are Eswen and Lalaith werewolves, in cahoots together? I have already said that I think Lalaith is no fool. On the other hand, if she is not a werewolf, she has made some pretty ghastly muffs. If E and L worked together to get the votes up even in order to lynch two for the price of one, they made an awfully bald move, which could be construed as a stupid move for a pair of werewolves. It just seems too obvious. Unless they brilliantly played a bold move, counting on us using double-think so that we'd say "nah, they can't be the werewolves, that's too obvious". So basically there's not enough evidence there.

So who does that leave as possible werewolves worth lynching (here we go again)?

Saurreg voted for Eomer who was innocent. Saurreg is probably the other shirrif, which means he's not likely a werewolf.

Celuien voted for Oddwen who was also innocent. She seems innocent to me, but then she could be playing a very clever "hide the identity" game.

Feanor voted for me. I'm innocent. That does make me wonder. She has flip flopped too. She is a loudmouth when she's not too busy, but that means very little. Most recently she has cast aspersions against Firefoot. Hmmm..... However, Evisse's recent comments on Feanor's Day 1 words show me that Fea is more emotive than wolfish; it just strikes me as too obvious a statement.

Firefoot voted for innocent Oddwen. Gut instinct, so far, is that Firefoot's not guilty.

Anguirel voted for the innocent phantom. Does not seem wolfish to me ... so far. Gut instinct, that.

dancing spawn voted for innocent Eomer. She is on my suspect list, but only on the strength of Feanor's suspicion (even though she voted for me).

Evisse voted for Lalaith. She thinks now that there was a possible conspiracy to lynch the phantom, which failed. That would mean that her suspects are Anguirel and ... um ... Eomer. But that doesn't work, since Eomer's innocent. And dead.

Hookbill voted for innocent Eomer. He, like Firefoot, have done us the service of keeping score (which I guess I sort of do too). Nothing especially "damning" about that.

littlemanpoet - I voted for innocent Eomer. As I said earlier, I was pretty convinced that the phantom was innocent; which has been proved now, sadly. I had to vote either before 6 am EDT or after 11 am EDT, and chose to use my vote more wisely toward the end, since I really wasn't sure which of my three to vote for early, and didn't want to waste my vote.

Nilpaurion voted for innocent Oddwen. He's playing a game of "sheep in wolf's clothing", which may or may not be dangerous.

So far all of us have been proven wrong except for Feanor and Evisse. Congratulations to the both of you that the person you voted for has not died and been shown to be innocent ... yet.

So basically what I come up with is that Day 2's votes tell us next to nothing about who the werewolves might be. So now what?

Well, there is one interesting factor. Anguirel noted that Eomer was right about the phantom. What else did Eomer say in his swan song post #209)? That Saurreg is just obviously a werewolf. Well, we doubt that now. That Fea is flip flopping and a good choice for lynching. Well, I am sympathetic with that view, as she voted for me, but that is not a good enough reason. I appreciate his good word for me. And what the heck was he saying to Nilpaurion? I didn't get that.

So who am I left with as possible werewolves? Well, I'm not sure of anybody. You guys are all playing a superb game. But somewhere amongst us are three werewolves - or four!

Let's all keep our eyes open, my friends.

And I shall try to revive my penchant for doggerel soon.

06-25-2005, 05:29 PM	#229
littlemanpoet Itinerant Songster Join Date: Jan 2002 Location: The Edge of Faerie Posts: 7,066	As I showed in post #150, everybody but everybody seemed like they could be either lupine or innocent. That tells me that the wolves are doing a great job of covering their identities. Saurreg seemed guilty to me based on his day one voting record, but the phantom's good word in S's direction is indication of his likely innocence, not to mention S's likely status as a shirriff. What about day 2's votes? As I made quite clear in my vote post, I was trying to avoid a tie, especially since I didn't think Oddwen was a werewolf. So of my list of three suspects, I voted for Eomer because (1) he was on my personal suspect list, and (2) there was building consensus against him. If the consensus had been building against Saurreg instead, I would have voted for him without apology, for the same reasons. There are, however, two individuals who worked to get Oddwen up even with Eomer, and that concerns me. Are Eswen and Lalaith werewolves, in cahoots together? I have already said that I think Lalaith is no fool. On the other hand, if she is not a werewolf, she has made some pretty ghastly muffs. If E and L worked together to get the votes up even in order to lynch two for the price of one, they made an awfully bald move, which could be construed as a stupid move for a pair of werewolves. It just seems too obvious. Unless they brilliantly played a bold move, counting on us using double-think so that we'd say "nah, they can't be the werewolves, that's too obvious". So basically there's not enough evidence there. So who does that leave as possible werewolves worth lynching (here we go again)? Saurreg voted for Eomer who was innocent. Saurreg is probably the other shirrif, which means he's not likely a werewolf. Celuien voted for Oddwen who was also innocent. She seems innocent to me, but then she could be playing a very clever "hide the identity" game. Feanor voted for me. I'm innocent. That does make me wonder. She has flip flopped too. She is a loudmouth when she's not too busy, but that means very little. Most recently she has cast aspersions against Firefoot. Hmmm..... However, Evisse's recent comments on Feanor's Day 1 words show me that Fea is more emotive than wolfish; it just strikes me as too obvious a statement. Firefoot voted for innocent Oddwen. Gut instinct, so far, is that Firefoot's not guilty. Anguirel voted for the innocent phantom. Does not seem wolfish to me ... so far. Gut instinct, that. dancing spawn voted for innocent Eomer. She is on my suspect list, but only on the strength of Feanor's suspicion (even though she voted for me). Evisse voted for Lalaith. She thinks now that there was a possible conspiracy to lynch the phantom, which failed. That would mean that her suspects are Anguirel and ... um ... Eomer. But that doesn't work, since Eomer's innocent. And dead. Hookbill voted for innocent Eomer. He, like Firefoot, have done us the service of keeping score (which I guess I sort of do too). Nothing especially "damning" about that. littlemanpoet - I voted for innocent Eomer. As I said earlier, I was pretty convinced that the phantom was innocent; which has been proved now, sadly. I had to vote either before 6 am EDT or after 11 am EDT, and chose to use my vote more wisely toward the end, since I really wasn't sure which of my three to vote for early, and didn't want to waste my vote. Nilpaurion voted for innocent Oddwen. He's playing a game of "sheep in wolf's clothing", which may or may not be dangerous. So far all of us have been proven wrong except for Feanor and Evisse. Congratulations to the both of you that the person you voted for has not died and been shown to be innocent ... yet. So basically what I come up with is that Day 2's votes tell us next to nothing about who the werewolves might be. So now what? Well, there is one interesting factor. Anguirel noted that Eomer was right about the phantom. What else did Eomer say in his swan song post #209)? That Saurreg is just obviously a werewolf. Well, we doubt that now. That Fea is flip flopping and a good choice for lynching. Well, I am sympathetic with that view, as she voted for me, but that is not a good enough reason. I appreciate his good word for me. And what the heck was he saying to Nilpaurion? I didn't get that. So who am I left with as possible werewolves? Well, I'm not sure of anybody. You guys are all playing a superb game. But somewhere amongst us are three werewolves - or four! Let's all keep our eyes open, my friends. And I shall try to revive my penchant for doggerel soon.