Well, I've gone through the thread a bit more as promised. Here's what I've been thinking.
I am doubtful that Celuien is a werewolf. She has been analytical and straight to the point; her points are logical and make sense. Nor do I feel very suspicious of Hookbill or Evisse. I don't see anything very werewolfish about them.
I have mixed feelings about Lalaith. She has been conservative, though has offered her opinions in a fairly straight-forward manner. She has given the appearance of being open-minded. Both good strategies for both innocents and wolves. She followed the Eomer case very closely, generally leaning towards his innocence; she put several cases forth "if he was a werewolf, this... but if he wasn't, that..." She has commented about werewolf strategy, which would seem to indicate innocence, however, it has not been enough that it would give away werewolf strategy if she were to be a werewolf. On a scale of 1-5, I would put her at about a 3.
If Lalaith is a werewolf, I would then look towards Anguirel. I am mildly suspicious of Anguirel anyway; he seems to put himself above suspicion (and this may be because he is innocent, of course). He has been fair and not very vindicitive (again: a good strategy for both wolves and villagers. It doesn't necessarily mean anything); I almost wish he would be a little more concrete. He has at least three times now mentioned Lalaith's innocence (post #'s 165, 223, 227), generally in passing as if not to bring too much attention to her but enough to gently nudge others that way. I don't see any other evidence of this; if these two are our wolves, I think that the third has not attracted much negative attention yet.
I'm still not comfortable with Saurreg, for reasons already stated; primarily now his apparent knee-jerk reaction to my previous accusations. Also, as I said before, my irritation with his rude comments, more likely to produce division than the unity we innocents need. However, I see no real concisive evidence for him to be a werewolf. I shall remain watchful here.
Nor am I comfortable with Fea. Numerous times, she has tried to nudge the accusations in my direction. If she were a wolf, I would justify the deaths of Azaelia and Eomer as a possible attempt to set me up: Azaelia, who I had already expressed suspicion on (plus Kath), then phantom, who I thought to be innocent, and would "make sense" for me to kill according to my theory that a wolf would not kill anyone that they had cast suspicion on publicly. The other odd thing that I find about Fea is her insistence about lmp. Except for her erroneous accusations of me I would say she was the seer. However, she seems too noisy and, well, vehement to be a wolf. She brings a lot of attention to herself, so unless this was to hide the other two 'quiet' wolves, this would argue against the Fea=werewolf case. So, I don't have a lot of backup here, but I will again be watchful.
Nilpaurion is just a mystery. I am inclined to think him innocent, though.
I am leaning towards the innocence of Esga, dancing spawn, and lmp. In particular, lmp's analysis post seemed fairly correct based on what evidence we had at that point.
So there you go. None of this is concrete, rather, it is likely to change. But based on what people have said so far this is where I'm at. Besides, someone needed to comment at length today. Maybe this will stem some discussion.
Edit: cross-posting with lmp.
Edit 2: After reading lmp's post, I am further convinced that lmp is probably innocent.
Last edited by Firefoot; 06-25-2005 at 06:12 PM.
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