[Lalaith]

After I woke up and saw that I'd got two votes, my first instinct, as a werewolf newbie, was obviously to argue/vote to save myself. But then I started pondering exactly the above scenarios and their possible outcome, and then I realised that the most important thing was that the werewolf only made one more kill at the very most.
I'd assumed that as Saurreg took me as an innocent everyone else would too, but I realised that if I wasn't trusted, I was completely expendable. The more unknown quantities we lynched that day the better.
Btw lmp, I also guessed you were the werewolf because you were the only one who replied to my little remark about 'could the werewolf not have left the Seer alive as a tactic.'
I put that remark in on purpose, because I figured the poor wolf would be lonely not having anyone to PM with, and wouldn't be able to resist the temptation to talk about tactics...