[The Only Real Estel]

Oh well, Eomer. It means that absolutely no one suspected me of being a Cobbler. Though I see I was a bit too assuming when I told Firefoot "I think he would've picked up by now that I'm the cobbler."

DAY SIX

Kath is dead. So Eomer did know who the seer was. Eomer brings up Lhuna being a cobbler, she's my main lynching candidate. Saurreg votes early, I plan to use that against him, but it's also good to see some suspicion being directed towards Mormegil. Still, I think I should create some sort of suspect list with Morm close to the bottom - if I don't show signs of suspecting him (like I began to do yesterday) maybe he will lay off of Eomer & I (#339). Ah, although Morm admits that Eomer & Estel could be acting very wolvish but he mostly thinks we are innocent (for now). Either my list ploy worked or something else did, I don't care much which. Lhuna suggests a Eomer/Estel alliance - may it never be! Hopefully I can use this to 'show' that she is trying to shift attention off of herself. Eomer again lightly suspects than quickly acquits a villager, this time it's Saurreg. Looks like Mormegil will go; I'm going to, once again, cast my vote for someone who won't be lynched today - Lhuna. I make up a good case against her just for good measure so I can use it the next DAY (#361). Post my 2000th post on the wolf thread. Yay. Eomer & I start to theorize on the Cobbler's possible motives. I use this to hopefully get through to him that I am the Cobbler, though I drop no real hints (he didn't pick up on it); & to 'show' that Lhuna must go next round or else all will be lost, barring a lucky (unlucky to Eomer & I ) guess on the villagers part. Morm is dead. Good.

DAY SEVEN

Not much here. Enca is dead, which is a smart move because not only is she a known innocent, but from what I remember Wilwarin will be very limited in the time she has today. Eomer says "I am not a double-bluffing wolf." I still bet that he is. Although I suppose it could, techinically, be Lhuna or Saurreg. But they both look to guilty & we all know Wilwa is innocent. Ah, a quick vote from Eomer, I am now convinced again. I was hoping to go for Saurreg for a few reasons, not the least of which the sheer odds of him being a wolf twice in a row. Oh well, Lhuna it is. I throw in my "anyone who doesn't vote for Lhuna I would be very suspicious of" line just for good measure. Our early voting will probably make us both look guilty, but all we need is for one person to join us & the village will be done for. Lhuna proclaims me "the greatest double-bluffing wolf of all time" & votes for me (that would make a good sig!). Eomer covers for me a bit, hopefully it will be enough. Wilwa votes for Lhuna. Barring a colossal mistake from Eomer the village is done for. At least I am still 80% sure that the wolf is Eomer but his pleas of innocence are so convincing that I am at least 20% unsure. I wish I could've gone after Saurreg. Lhuna is dead & she was no wolf. *Whew. It is now obviously Eomer but as long as he doesn't screw up & kill me at night it's over & done.

Two PMs to Firefoot that show I'm getting a bit nervous:

Well, once again I'm hanging all my hopes on Eomer. Lhuna acts like a wolf, which is why she's an easy target, I just hope she's not the wolf otherwise I'll look horrible as a Cobbler. I was going to bring up Saurreg because, although I don't have time to go back & get the exact # of participants in the last two games, just saying there were 15 villagers in each game the odds of him being a wolf twice in a row are roughly 9:225 - so I doubt he's the wolf & I probably couldn't go wrong voting for him. Still, if Eomer is the wolf I have to go along with him...I just hope I'm not wrong!!!

We only need one more vote for a majority so I guess we'll find out soon...cross your fingers.

-Estel-

p.s. Wow, I feel like a turncoat.

This one comes after further review of Eomer's 'innocent pleas' & before Lhuna's confirmation as an innocent:

Darn it. I've been reading some of Eomer's posts & it does seem like there is less chance of him being the wolf than I thought...gah, the suspense is killing me. Maybe I should've gone after Saurreg after all...let the second-guesses begin!

-Estel-