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Originally Posted by Estel
I was going to bring up Saurreg because, although I don't have time to go back & get the exact # of participants in the last two games, just saying there were 15 villagers in each game the odds of him being a wolf twice in a row are roughly 9:225
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Ah, but you know that the probabilities are independant each time, so he had exactly the same chance of being a wolf as anybody else...