I don't have time to read through everything properly right now, but I will say this.
1. It is extremely unlikely that Arcticstorm is bluffing. Not only does past evidence speak in his favour (I had more or less worked out it was him) but nobody else has come forward to disagree with him.
2. Top of my suspect list right now are Lmp and Gil. In fact, in case I don't have time to come back, I'm going to go for it, I think Gil is a fairly safe vote.
++Gil-Galad
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Out went the candle, and we were left darkling
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