It seems it's between
Laitaine and
Dancing Spawn. In my mind, they are not the only possibilities (I don't feel comfortable trusting anyone, even with only one wolf and the bear left) But, for reasons stated mainly by
LMP and
Saucepan Man (surprise, surprise)...
++Dancing Spawn of Ungoliant
I'm not getting up early tomorrow, sorry. Take that as you will.
cross-posted with
Meneltmarcil. Thanks Menel for making my vote look strategic.