[the phantom]

TGWBS was killed last night by the wolves...why?

I think it is good to continue asking that question.

The biggest reason for the wolves to kill is to take out the seer. Yesterday, tgwbs defined Alca as his top suspect quite clearly. It made him look like he could possibly be the seer. And if he was the seer, his message was clear- Alca was bad.

Now, if Alca is indeed a wolf then it is quite easy to understand why tgwbs was killed- the wolves suspected him as the seer.

But... if Alca isn't a wolf- why was tgwbs killed? Was it a random choice? I doubt that the wolves were entirely random in their selection.

We shall see who they kill tonight. I have an idea of who I would kill if I was a wolf- I will see if the wolves do what I would do. If they don't, and instead kill someone entirely random (someone who has barely posted and hasn't said much in the way of suspicions), then we will have to rethink the way we are thinking about this particular group of beasts (and realize that catching the first one might be a bit tough).

If I was a wolf, I would not have killed Alca or tgwbs because the two of them were sure to be attacking each other in the future. Wolves want to keep people around who have their eyes on each other because they are sure to stir up suspicion against each other- and wolves love having suspicious people around. It makes it easier to hide.

So why kill tgwbs?

It either has to be that they thought he was the seer (which means that Alca is almost certainly guilty), or they wanted to set Alca up (which means that Alca is probably innocent, unless it was a double bluff), or that they wanted to kill randomly to avoid leaving a trail.

Any thoughts?

And yet somehow that doesn't allay my fears that he (phantom) is simply a very clever were-creature.

Clever? Yeah. Were-creature? Nope.

If I were a clever were-creature, at this point in the game my plans and manipulations would still be far too subtle and clever to spot- and you know it, m'dear.