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Old 10-05-2005, 10:39 PM   #11
Gurthang
Sword of Spirit
 
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Oh, I'm around.
Posts: 1,401
Gurthang has just left Hobbiton.
First off, Fea: don't feel too bad. I think we can still get this done. Actually, I had just realized what Estel had been talking about (aka you as Seer) when I hit refresh and you said it yourself.

Now, we know that Feanor, TORE, and Hiriel are innocent. The wolves will obvioiusly kill Fea tonight, TOREstel tomorrow night, and Hiriel the next. We have a pretty definite path that the wolves are forced down. If they don't do what I just said, it will mean leaving known innocents alive, something they probably won't do.

So, that leaves us with seven(I'll include myself for now, since nobody but me knows I'm innocent ). Let's narrow this down.

I think it's safe to say that Rune and Eonwe are innocent, since they voted to put Bergil ahead when the votes were tied.

Bergil voted for Sleepy. That put them both at three. Which meant that, unless everyone else voted for one other person, either Bergil or Sleepy would die. Not a good strategy if they are both wolves.

Left: Gurthang, Jack, Thin, and malkatoj

Now, these are the four most likely, so I suggest analyze these before others(yes, I hope you'll find me innocent when you look at me). Here's what I think of them:

I'm out. And I'll take Thin out, because it would take a very foolish wolf to not vote on the first two days.

So that leaves Jack and malkatoj as wolves. Look at their votes. Malkatoj's brings Sleepy up to a tie with Bergil, and Jack's looks suspiciously like a late 'I'll vote for a fellow wolf now that he's in the noose' vote. I'm thinking malkatoj will end up getting my vote toDay, and Jack tomorrow.

P.S. I just found a mistake in my lists. Thin did not vote for himself on Day 1; he didn't vote at all.
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