[Formendacil]

And so another day comes, with another day's killing, and thanks be to the Valar, Eomer managed to catch us our first Werewolf. Compared with my past life in another village, this is a great improvement- except for my new job of course. Shovelling refuse when I used to write it is no improvement...

And now, to my personal feelings...

Estelyn seems a little be out of place. Her vote for Shelob yesterday truly does seem random, and she has certainly not seemed entirely comfortable in all this confusion. On the other hand, she's definitely an intelligent lady, and the whole "out of place" business COULD be a very careful ploy to appear innocent.

tgwbs also seems reasonably innocent. His vote for Shelob also doesn't seem particularly menacing. However, I have greater qualms about him than about Estelyn. He is, after all, a dwarf experienced at life in villages with Werewolf problems. If he was the Werewolf, then he would likely want Shelob removed, knowing her reputation as being too smart to survive long.

Boromir, having voted for me, is naturally somewhat suspicious in my mind. But I'm willing to let that pass as having been a random vote. However, he plays an uncanny game, and it is possible that he was a Werewolf looking for a random vote to throw away on Day 1.

Shelob, as the one who started voting for Anguirel, could have been an innocent villager casting a random vote. Anguirel WAS, after all, playing a rather foolish game with that "lynch me" bluff- especially once they took him up on it. However, Shelob doesn't seem that suspicious.

Mormegil's vote for Cailin at the point in the game that he voted is rather suspicious. With Cailin getting tied up as the third person with two votes, it is quite possible that he was a Werewolf trying to appear as her opposite- a villager. On the other hand, he is the one who brought her up to what I'll call, Bandwaggon status

Firefoot's vote for for Cailin at this point seems to exonerate her. After all, it put Cailin squarely in the lead, which would be a very dangerous move for her to make. A thought that came to me, though, is that Firefoot very deliberately voted for Cailin, hoping to get her lynched off, and so have an "innocent" status for the rest of the game. A very unlikely possibility, but one that occurred to me... On whole, I'd say that Firefoot is innocent.

Where Firefoot's vote for Cailin can be construed to look suspicious, I suppose that lmp's is even worse in the same way. The question, though, is whether or not lmp has the audacity to kill off a fellow Werewolf. I don't know him as well as I'd like, but I tend to think that, in spite of his bluster, he would have a hard time casually sentencing a fellow wolf, when there was no danger to himself, so easily. And so, I think him (for now, anyway) innocent.

Enca's vote for Anguirel brought the Anguirel bandwaggon back to live after a fairly long hiatus. This could be another Werewolf, trying to divert suspicion, but there isn't really any evidence to suggest that she wasn't doing just what she said she was doing: voting for a suspicious character. However, she's definitely someone to keep an eye on...

Mr. U was suspicious for frivolous reasons when I voted for him yesterday. They are much more concrete today, when we see that his vote is what brought Anguirel up to a tie with Cailin. If Encaitare is suspicious regarding the idea of a Werewolf trying to save Cailin, then Mister Underhill is doubly so. And there is still that "frivolous" matter of his keen intelligence and "playing dumb" act...

Fea is suspicious just because she is Fea. She could also have been a Werewolf trying to save Cailin, for her vote also brought Boromir up to the same amount of votes as Cailin. A risky maneuver that late in the Day, and not one guaranteed to save Cailin, for it was quite possible that Lhuna would not have made it in to vote in time, or that if she had, she would not have picked Cailin. On the other hand, Fea is known to have sacrificed others for her own sake before, and has said as much in her post (#143) this morning. Right up there with Mister Underhill on my suspicions list.

And then there's Lhuna. Her vote for Anguirel saved Cailin, and if the Werewolves hadn't been so unfortunate as to kill Eomer last night, Cailin would still be with us today- trying to kill someone. Overall, I don't think Lhuna as likely a Werewolf as Fea or Mister Underhill, on account of the timezone difference, but I am also hesitant to declare her innocent on the basis of that as well.

All in all, I am most suspicious of the late-voters. Fea and Mister Underhill top the list, with Lhuna and Encai sitting somewhat lower. After that, I think it either TGWBS or Boromir, but those two register very low on the suspicion scale...