The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - TOL-IN-GAURHOTH XII, Erbar Telamarth

the guy who be short · 10-22-2005, 06:21 AM

DAY ONE:
Shelob - 2 (Esty 2, TGWBS 3)
Eomer - 1 (Cailin 4)
Boromir - 3 (Anguirel 1, Eomer 5, Feanor 14)
Formendacil - 1 (Boromir 6)
Mr. Underhill - 1 (Formendacil 7)
Anguirel - 4 (Shelob 8, Encaitarë 12, Mister Underhill 13, Lhuna 15)
Cailin - 3 (Mormegil 9, Firefoot 10, LMP 11)

DAY TWO:
Mr. Underhill – 2 (Lhuna 1, Formendacil 8)
Lhuna – 1 (Shelob 2)
Shelob – 4 (TGWBS 3, Esty 5, Firefoot 9, Encai 12)
Formendacil – 1 (Boromir 4)
LMP – 1 (Fea 6)
Fea – 3 (Morm 7, Mr. Underhill 10, LMP 11)

Now then, before I say anything at all of importance, I do not think LMP was killed under suspicion of Seerism.
The innocence of morm, Firefoot and LMP was agreed upon by the village (excluding Fea) on Day two. Of these, it was agreed that LMP was the most innocent looking due to the position of his vote. This is why he is dead.
Now, perhaps there is some other reason - perhaps there were hints of Seerism in his posts - but I'll warrant that was the main reason. Alternatively, the wolves could have chosen the one out of those three who looked most Seery. I will have to anaylse LMPs posts later.

Now, morm and Firefoot are innocent. Esty, I have explained, looks innocent to me at the moment, though this could change. I am innocent, though I don't expect anybody to take my word for it. Excluding these four, this is what I find:

Enca sealed Shelob's fate - the other three Shelob-voters being innocent. This could have been an attempt to save Fea's life. Enca-Fea as wolves?

Fea voted for LMP despite his looking extremely innocent.

Mr U voted Feanor at a reasonably important time. I am tempted to forgive him for Day one and trust him (sort of) now. If one is a wolf, the other is not.

Lhuna voted for Mr U early when it seemed likely he would be dying Yesterday. This could be a wolf going with the flow to hide herself. I see a potential Mr U - Lhuna wolvish alliance here.

So:

Wolves:
Feanor
Encaitare

Potential Wolves:
Mr U
Lhuna

Unsure:
Formendacil
Boromir

Most likely Innocent:
Esty

Innocents:
Firefoot
mormegil
TGWBS

This is all liable to change as I mull things over.

Coming soon: Analyses of Innocent posts.

10-22-2005, 06:21 AM	#4
the guy who be short Shadowed Prince Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Thulcandra Posts: 2,343	Voting records DAY ONE: Shelob - 2 (Esty 2, TGWBS 3) Eomer - 1 (Cailin 4) Boromir - 3 (Anguirel 1, Eomer 5, Feanor 14) Formendacil - 1 (Boromir 6) Mr. Underhill - 1 (Formendacil 7) Anguirel - 4 (Shelob 8, Encaitarë 12, Mister Underhill 13, Lhuna 15) Cailin - 3 (Mormegil 9, Firefoot 10, LMP 11) DAY TWO: Mr. Underhill – 2 (Lhuna 1, Formendacil 8) Lhuna – 1 (Shelob 2) Shelob – 4 (TGWBS 3, Esty 5, Firefoot 9, Encai 12) Formendacil – 1 (Boromir 4) LMP – 1 (Fea 6) Fea – 3 (Morm 7, Mr. Underhill 10, LMP 11) Now then, before I say anything at all of importance, I do not think LMP was killed under suspicion of Seerism. The innocence of morm, Firefoot and LMP was agreed upon by the village (excluding Fea) on Day two. Of these, it was agreed that LMP was the most innocent looking due to the position of his vote. This is why he is dead. Now, perhaps there is some other reason - perhaps there were hints of Seerism in his posts - but I'll warrant that was the main reason. Alternatively, the wolves could have chosen the one out of those three who looked most Seery. I will have to anaylse LMPs posts later. Now, morm and Firefoot are innocent. Esty, I have explained, looks innocent to me at the moment, though this could change. I am innocent, though I don't expect anybody to take my word for it. Excluding these four, this is what I find: Enca sealed Shelob's fate - the other three Shelob-voters being innocent. This could have been an attempt to save Fea's life. Enca-Fea as wolves? Fea voted for LMP despite his looking extremely innocent. Mr U voted Feanor at a reasonably important time. I am tempted to forgive him for Day one and trust him (sort of) now. If one is a wolf, the other is not. Lhuna voted for Mr U early when it seemed likely he would be dying Yesterday. This could be a wolf going with the flow to hide herself. I see a potential Mr U - Lhuna wolvish alliance here. So: Wolves: Feanor Encaitare Potential Wolves: Mr U Lhuna Unsure: Formendacil Boromir Most likely Innocent: Esty Innocents: Firefoot mormegil TGWBS This is all liable to change as I mull things over. Coming soon: Analyses of Innocent posts.