Dead Serious
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Perched on Thangorodrim's towers.
Posts: 3,328
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Okay, it seems that quite a few people find me suspicious. Fine then, I'm suspicious. I've been there before while being innocent, and I expect to be proven so again. That said, I would find it a courtesy to know WHY people seem to think me so lupine. For what its worth, my own voting has not resulted yet in any killing of an innocent- a fact that has so far been overlooked.
Anyway, leaving the topic of stinky old me alone, here are my thoughts on the others:
mormegil: Still a member of the Innocent Three from Day 1. Of the three, he's the most likely to have been playing a wolfy game, but the possibility of that seems about 1 in a hundred.
the guy who be short: Also seems fairly innocent. Not as "proven" innocent as the Innocent Three (I guess that should be the Innocent Two now), but fairly innocent. However, he did vote for Shelob two days in a row, and was a part of a successful drive for her removal on Day 2. Whether that constitutes Wolfishness, or just a bit of being stuck on the wrong track, is difficult to say.
Encaitare's vote yesterday sealed Shelobs' fate. Her vote on Day 1 resurrected the bandwaggon that saved Cailin. Both acts, taken in that light, look highly suspicious. On the other hand, the possibility of coincidental timing is there. Day 1's vote could be construed as voting for a seemingly dead bandwaggon. Day 2's vote can be said to be a painful tiebreaker- with tragic results. However, Encaitare's record still seems mighty suspicious.
Boromir88 has so far voted for me and only me. On Day 1 I found that insulting (as everyone undoubtedly remembers), and on Day 2 I found that suspicious. However, although I know that Boromir was voting for an innocent, there's no evidence I can present to prove it, and I can only say that he's gone off down the wrong track. Oddly enough, this makes me somewhat more sure of his innocence, since I did the same thing back in my last village. On the other hand, it could be the quieter partner of a Wolfish partnership casting a quiet, more ignored vote...
Firefoot: The other surviving member of the Innocent Three. Firefoot, by the timing of her Day 1 voting, seems to be the most definitely innocent person we have. However, innocent or not, she DID vote for Shelob yesterday, casting the third of four votes for that innocent, a vote that could have been the killling one in a slightly different situation. IF that were the case, then her casual near-killing of Cailin on Day 1 could only be taken as a very bold move to kill off a partner in hopes of getting "Innocent" status for the rest of the village's lifespan. If so, it worked, because in spite of these "Devil's Advocate" questionings, she still makes my list of Innocents.
Lhunardawen is known to live in a different timezone, but I would be wary of calling her innocent based on that alone. It is entirely possible for her to be playing that to her advantage. Her vote on Day 1 saved Cailin from immediate destruction, and her very early vote on Day 2, with the explanation of "busy other life" could be a ploy to hide under the radar for the rest of the day. It's a coin toss, in my opinion, as to which is the case: hampered by timezones, or playing the timezones.
Feanor of the Peredhil has been looking very suspicious of late. LMP suspected her, and now he's dead. She has done her best to cast suspicion on the Innocent Three. Her voting record has not been spotless. Her vote for Boromir on Day 1 was his third- which brought him up to Cailin's number of votes, and may have been a risky plot to save her life. Her vote for LMP on Day 2 is less suspect, unless she was a wolf trying to appear unsuspicious. The possibility of innocence is there, but it's weak...
Estelyn Telcontar is getting used to the game, it seems, and the indications are that she is an innocent- but her two days in a row vote for Shelob is somewhat suspicious. Her vote for Shelob yesterday was the second on the bandwaggon, and by that timing could be said to have been what got the bandwaggon rolling. All the same, she seems harmless...
Mister Underhill is my old foe, it would seem. I've voted for him twice now. The first time on random reasons, the second time on suspicion of Wolfishness. His Day 1 vote brought Anguirel up to an even score with the wolf Cailin, and certainly helped save her from the noose. However, my suspicion of him has slackened somewhat, based on his Day 2 record. He cast the second vote for Fea, and did so later in the voting, when suspicion towards her was building- a dangerous thing for him to have done if he was a wolf, in my opinion. On the other hand, Fea WASN'T killed yesterday, and both of them are still alive today, so it COULD have been a bluff...
To sum up, in order:
Wolves?:
Fea
Probably Wolves?:
Mister Underhill,
Encaitare
Relatively Neutral?
Lhunardawen,
Boromir,
Estelyn,
TGWBS,
Mostly Innocent:
Firefoot,
Mormegil
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I prefer history, true or feigned.
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