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Old 10-24-2005, 09:15 AM   #302
Mister Underhill
Dread Horseman
 
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Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Behind you!
Posts: 2,744
Mister Underhill has been trapped in the Barrow!
Day One

1. Anguirel - B88
2. Esty - Shelob (innocent)
3. tgwbs - Shelob (innocent)
4. (W) Cailin - Eomer (Hunter)
5. Eomer - B88
6. B88 - Form (W)
7. (W) Form - Mr. U
8. Shelob - Anguirel (innocent)
9. mormegil - Cailin (W)
10. Firefoot - Cailin (W)
11. lmp - Cailin (W)
12. Enca - Anguirel (innocent)
13. Mr. U - Anguirel (innocent)
14. Fea - B88
15. Lhuna - Anguirel (innocent)


Day Two

1. Lhuna - Mr. U
2. Shelob - Lhuna (innocent)
3. tgwbs - Shelob (innocent)
4. B88 - Form (W)
5. Esty - Shelob (innocent)
6. Fea - lmp (Ranger)
7. morm - Fea
8. (W) Form - Mr. U
9. Firefoot - Shelob (innocent)
10. Mr. U - Fea
11. lmp - Fea
12. Enca - Shelob (innocent)


Day Three

1. tgwbs - Lhuna (innocent)
2. B88 - Form (W)
3. (W) Form - Fea
4. Enca - B88
5. Firefoot - Form (W)
6. Esty - Enca
7. Fea - Mr. U
8. Mr. U - Form (W)
9. morm - Enca


Here's the voting order and known roles where appropriate. It goes without saying that I know I'm innocent here, but I've only listed roles that are undisputably known by the death of the villager.

Formendacil, a known wolf, voted for me twice and only backed off when it seemed some momentum was building against me. The way I read this is that he helped lead the building of suspicion of me over the first two days, then didn't want to be linked to lynching an innocent if I went down on the third day. Is his vote for Fea significant? People were backing off of Fea all around, so this was a pretty safe vote. He could have cast it towards a fellow wolf to provide cover for them both. Or alternatively, it might have been a safe vote for an innocent who has been dogged by suspicion. Fea, as ever, is shrouded in controversy and confusion. I'll get back to her presently.

tgwbs has had the misfortune of having voted for a known innocent three days running. That should bring him up on anyone's radar. Offsetting this is his habit of voting early. Hard to say what's up here. It's decent strategy for a wolf to vote early to avoid being involved in controversial voting decisions. Not sure what to make of this, but I haven't been looking too closely at tg and now I'm thinking that I should. Even if he's innocent, he's been consistently wrong, which means we ought to consider clearing his top suspect, Boromir.

Esty's had a shaky time of it, too, but overall I haven't seen much to suspect in her. I have to reciprocate her comments on me -- I have a feeling she'd be more involved if she were a wolf. She's been off most people's radar for most of the game, which makes me a little uneasy, but I've seen in her posts echoes of my own confusion as a n00b villager, so she remains low on my list.

morm: Pretty sure he's innocent. Like Boromir, I had him pegged on Day Two as the Seer.

...which leads me to buy into Boromir's story. If he was posing as the Seer to screen morm, it worked; by the end of Day Three, I had changed my mind and thought he was the Seer. Could this all be a bluff? Maybe. But for now his story rings true to me.

Fea's back at the top of my watch-list again. I backed off of her early on Day Three in part because I thought morm was the Seer, and he had backed off of her (#211). She's the only villager who has voted for a gifted (that we know of), and her other votes have been relatively safe bandwagon votes. Also notably cast an important vote on Day One and has seemingly been laying low voting-wise since then. She's accusing me still when the evidence is finally starting to vindicate me. She's also reaching hard to convince us that Firefoot dreamed of her, when Firefoot's comments hardly seem conclusive:

Post #252 -- Of a list of three, including Fea, who had received votes: 'I could (at least theoretically) see myself voting for any of those three (or others) at this point.' See also post #256, especially a mention of Fea in her Lhuna comments: 'I know [Lhuna] lives in a different time zone, and I might feel a little bad in voting for her, but she makes me nervous too - not in a Fea-nervous way, but in an "I'm slipping under the radar now" nervous way.' On their own, both comments are pretty innocuous, but why would she cast even offhand suspicion on someone she knew to be innocent? Fea, you may be innocent, but my read on Firefoot's comments is that she did not dream of you.

Enca is also still a top suspect. She has voted for two known innocents and the one villager who pegged a wolf on all three of his votes. Cast the controversial vote on Day One that has made her a suspect ever since.

Right now, Fea and Enca top my watch-list.

I'd like to get a closer look at tgwbs.

**Not quite an edit, but while I've been composing this, the posts have been flying. Boromir has a point about the double-lynching, but on the other hand, if we kill an innocent we narrow down the chances of the wolf getting the cursed villager tonight. Would we know if the cursed villager had already been lynched, or can we assume he or she is still among us? Maybe a more experienced villager can help me out here.

My top suspects remain Enca and Fea. Boromir is a maybe, but right now, as I said above, his story rings true. I'd need more convincing to go for him and leave one of the other two alive if we want to try to orchestrate the double-L -- which I'm also not completely convinced is the best plan.
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