[littlemanpoet]

notes on tar-ancalime

I just don't trust her. But the case against her isn't strong.

post 51: questions LMP, criticizes leader plan, suspects Anguirel, votes Anguirel

135:

I have to admit some uneasiness with Lalaith myself, despite what I think is sound reasoning regarding Kuru's death: who better to expound the correct theory than a wolf? By showing us her hand in this way (explaining the reasons for Kuru's death) she's being "helpful," which is so valuable this early in the game; could she be a clever wolf trying to clear herself by being a little forthcoming?

Establishes a plausible either/or between Lalaith and tar-ancalime

if Lalaith is a wolf, then lmp and Anguirel are not.

I have to say that I'm less suspicious of Glirdan than some others seem to be--he appears to me to be working out his thoughts in plain sight, without any guile, and when he changes his mind it's because he's reexamined something. I actually find his posts a little refreshing and they seem to me to be very honest.

Glirdan, Firefoot, and Kitanna seem likely innocent to me.

147: to lmp:

I utterly regret that in this post I'm doing much the same by rising to your so obviously proffered bait, but there it is. At least you have pushed me out into the open with the root of my suspicions of you, and even caused me to think through them more carefully.

160:

That's where you're wrong, Anguirel dah-ling. If I were a wolf, I would be NO ONE's backup singer.

234: logical as all get-out why wilwa must be understood as seer regardless of her validity.

I feel very strongly that even debating wilwa's veracity is beside the point. No matter who or what she really is, it can only help us to take her advice for at least one DAY and lynch Wayne.

252: logical as all get-out again

287: casts mild aspersions on Kitanna. Sets up dichotomy between Glirdan and Lalaith, sets up pairing between Glirdan and Lalaith; the upshot of these is: "if Glirdan is innocent, then Lalaith is innocent, and if Glirdan is innocent, LMP is a wolf, so let's lynch Glirdan; when he proves to be innocent, we'll see that LMP is a wolf." What she interestingly leaves unsaid is the opposite of the former pairing: if Glirdan is innocent, then Lalaith is a werewolf. If tar-were proven to be correct, which is quite likely, she would obviously campaign for my lynching; if she were successful, she gets the villagers to NOT lynch Lalaith or tar-ancalime for two whole Days. If tar-ancalime and Lalaith are werewolves, that buys precious time, which would bring the numbers from 7 innocent to 2 wolves, to 3 innocent to 2 wolves. We cannot afford to buy into her logic. Actually, she says that she's pretty much suspicous of all of us, leaving the whole post rather moot. But I think her charges against Glirdan look rather trumped up. I'm not sure what to think of her. I'm suspicious, but the proof is not really there. The charges can be trumped up (my current favorite word), but they're not as weighty as my second impressions took them to be.