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but why didn't they head for the dwarf road through the mountains mentioned in the Hobbit.
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The Redhorn Pass was farther north, and I wouldn't say it was any more safe since that is where Thorin & Co where captured by Orcs.
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Depends what "winter" entails. After all, winter in the north and in high mountains means snow, and lots of it. However, winter in the southern flats and plains means more along the lines of rain.
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Depends where you were, obviously. Caradhras got snowed on; they skipped a bit of winter whilst they spent time in Lorien. The rest, being more southerly, was drear and chilly and dismal.
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Tolkien never states that Gondor is in a southern hemisphere type of climate though. The seasons in the southern part of Middle Earth may not have been the same as those in the northern part in the same time frame, winter may come first to that part and later in others by weeks or months.
RotK:
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Then Aragorn turned, and there was a stony slope behind him running down from the skirts of the snow; and as he looked he was aware that alone there in the waste a growing thing stood.And he climbed to it, and saw that out of the very edge of the snow there sprang a sapling tree no more than three foot high. Already it had put forth young leaves long and shapely, dark above and silver beneath, and upon it's silver crown it bore one small cluster of flowers whose white petals shone like the sunlit snow.
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Apparently Gondor got snow at times, this point of Mount Mindolluin being only a nights walk for Gandalf and Aragorn could not have been too far up the mountain.
[ June 11, 2002: Message edited by: Elrian ]