[Aiwendil]

Cross-post with Fordim. Well, there goes my idea about waiting on the votes - though of course I understand and sympathize if Fordim doesn't have time to stick around.

Fordim is no dullard, but I fear he has made some errors of reasoning. Either that or he's a Wolf. Or the Cobbler.

Yes he voted for a known wolf on the first day, and at the time that seemed crazed, but look at the free run he's had based on that.

Of course, from the point of view of anyone but myself, this is possible. But I will point out two things. First, I was the first person to raise suspicion against Spawn. Second, I had it within my power until the very end of the DAY to prevent Spawn's lynching by voting for Formendacil. So if you believe it was a Wolvish plot, you are committed to believing that it was an all-out pre-meditated sacrifice. I point this out because, while I can easily imagine a Wolf throwing out another Wolf's name early on, or throwing his or her vote in when a lynching is inevitable, it seems to me less likely (though, I admit, not impossible) that the Wolves would make such a sacrifice, especially on the first DAY.

And look at how he comes up with his scores for people. When other folk come up with numbers and lists, he can't be quick enough pointing out that they're not useful.

When you came up with a numerical system, I pointed out what I perceived to be flaws with it, while also commenting that I thought quantitative methods were a good idea. And when I came up with a numerical system, I repeatedly emphasized that it was flawed in several ways and that any conclusions drawn from it are tenuous at best.

But the clincher is the deaths of poor Wilwa and SaucepanMan. Both of them die when they're beginning to look suspicious which doesn't make a lot of sense to us: why not leave an innocent alive? Why? I'll tell you -- that Aiwendil has a lot of pull hereabouts and there's folk as wil listen to him. Killing Spawn the first day was all part of his wolfish plot to get credibility, and he aims to keep that. As soon as it looks like things are starting to make sense (Wilwa and Saucy are wolves, says folks) they die -- so things aren't clear, and why the wolves did what they did isn't clear, but isn't it nice we have Aiwendil around, that nice bloke who voted for Spawn on the first day so we can trust him... "Tell us what to do Master Aiwendil!"

But my advice has not been heeded! On DAY 2, I was all for lynching Wilwarin (a mistake, I now know). We lynched Rune and Gurthang instead. On DAY 3, I was all for lynching either Lhuna or Kath. We lynched Wayne instead (partly thanks to you, I must point out).

As for the deaths of Wilwarin and The Saucepan Man - I'm afraid I can't see how these implicate me. The Saucepan Man was, after all, my chief ally yesterDAY.

Despite these errors in judgement, I don't think that Fordim is a Wolf. Perhaps, as Boromir suggests, he's the Cobbler. Perhaps he's a mistaken innocent.