Good analysis, on the whole,
Mormegil, and my apologies for being so verbose! I've had far too much free time this past week.
Allow me to explain my vote for
Rune. On DAY 2, I was fixated (mistakenly, it seems) on the idea that the Wolves would have attempted to save
Spawn on DAY 1. That led me initially to look at
Wilwarin, because I was focusing on the strange number of votes for
Formendacil. Then
Boromir pointed out (in post 84) that
Rune had tied things up at 2-2-2 among
Spawn,
Formendacil, and
Wayne. This looked to me like another possible attempt to save
Spawn. So both
Wilwarin and
Rune made what seemed to me to be suspect votes. With no apparent prospect for
Wilwarin's lynching, I voted for
Rune.
Quote:
|
One last request of you Aiwendil, can you make a better case against Kath and Lhuna other than their "safe votes"? I ask because I am suspicious of them but want to hear more reasons from you.
|
My suspicion is tenuous, I admit. The chief factor is that they have so far played a very "quiet" game, and not only in terms of the number of posts they've made. They have both avoided anything that would bring much attention to them. They have not made any bold accusations or come forward with notable plans or suggestions. They have not gotten caught up in any major controversy. And they have voted safely. It seems to me that on the whole it is beneficial to a Wolf not to be noticed. The quieter a person is, the less evidence everyone else has to go on in analyzing that person. I'm not saying, of course, that a Wolf can't be loud - but it seems to me that
Kath and
Lhunardawen have gotten off fairly easily so far due primarily to their being quiet.
What worries me is that I can think of another kind of person who wouldn't want to draw attention to himself or herself - a Gifted. It's possible that what we have in
Kath or in
Lhuna or in both is a desire to hide not from the villagers but from the Wolves. That's largely why I've repeatedly urged caution today. If we lynch a Gifted, we're really in trouble.