The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - Tol-in-Gaurhoth XV-The Villagers Strike Back!

Meneltarmacil · 12-19-2005, 02:23 PM

I remain slightly suspicious of Boromir88 for his suggestion of going after Farael for no good reason. His jumping on a recently-started Nonnacedak bandwagon makes him a possible Hero, as I will explain below.

In terms of voting patterns I figure that if the Heroes split their votes three ways to hide suspicion, then they will most likely have one for Glirdan, one for Nonna, and one for somebody else. That somebody else, in my opinion, is probably Wayne, as there is a good reason that can usually be cited for voting for Wayne, that being his silence. Also, it is not very likely that a Hero would start a new bandwagon the first Night, as such a person would automatically be suspected of attempting to kill off an innocent (unless a double-bluff was being employed). The same may go for someone casting a "critical vote" that breaks a tie, though this may actually mean that the "critical voter" is actually a Hero trying to save one of his/her own.

If this is the case, then:
Hero #1 who voted for Glirdan would be:
mormegil (a critical vote, which put him ahead of Saucepan and myself)
WaynetheGoblin
Meneltarmacil (I'm an Ordinary Wolf, though, and I seem to recall I cross-posted with Wayne there.)
Oddwen
Farael

Hero #2 who voted for Nonnacedak would be:
dancing spawn of ungoliant
Boromir88

Hero #3 could be anyone who didn't vote for either. If this is indeed the case, I'd suggest Rune. He very well could have gotten away with suspecting Wayne, as there is, as previously mentioned, the "let's-get-Wayne-because-he's-too-quiet" line of reasoning. Since the Nonna bandwagon wasn't rolling yet, Rune may have been attempting to start a Wayne bandwagon off of Lhuna's original vote for him.

Boromir88, due to what I think may have been repeated attempts at urging a vote for Farael from people and then finally voting, strangely, for someone else, is likely to be Hero #2.

Hero#1 could be one of many people, and is tough to call. It should also be noted that a different voting pattern could have been organized, and two HEroes may have voted for one person.

Rune and Boromir88 are my primary suspects.

Oh, and due to the length of time spent writing, there's probably some crossposting in this post.

12-19-2005, 02:23 PM	#102
Meneltarmacil Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Jun 2003 Location: The bottom of the ocean, discussing philosophy with a giant squid Posts: 2,254	I remain slightly suspicious of Boromir88 for his suggestion of going after Farael for no good reason. His jumping on a recently-started Nonnacedak bandwagon makes him a possible Hero, as I will explain below. In terms of voting patterns I figure that if the Heroes split their votes three ways to hide suspicion, then they will most likely have one for Glirdan, one for Nonna, and one for somebody else. That somebody else, in my opinion, is probably Wayne, as there is a good reason that can usually be cited for voting for Wayne, that being his silence. Also, it is not very likely that a Hero would start a new bandwagon the first Night, as such a person would automatically be suspected of attempting to kill off an innocent (unless a double-bluff was being employed). The same may go for someone casting a "critical vote" that breaks a tie, though this may actually mean that the "critical voter" is actually a Hero trying to save one of his/her own. If this is the case, then: Hero #1 who voted for Glirdan would be: mormegil (a critical vote, which put him ahead of Saucepan and myself) WaynetheGoblin Meneltarmacil (I'm an Ordinary Wolf, though, and I seem to recall I cross-posted with Wayne there.) Oddwen Farael Hero #2 who voted for Nonnacedak would be: dancing spawn of ungoliant Boromir88 Hero #3 could be anyone who didn't vote for either. If this is indeed the case, I'd suggest Rune. He very well could have gotten away with suspecting Wayne, as there is, as previously mentioned, the "let's-get-Wayne-because-he's-too-quiet" line of reasoning. Since the Nonna bandwagon wasn't rolling yet, Rune may have been attempting to start a Wayne bandwagon off of Lhuna's original vote for him. Boromir88, due to what I think may have been repeated attempts at urging a vote for Farael from people and then finally voting, strangely, for someone else, is likely to be Hero #2. Hero#1 could be one of many people, and is tough to call. It should also be noted that a different voting pattern could have been organized, and two HEroes may have voted for one person. Rune and Boromir88 are my primary suspects. Oh, and due to the length of time spent writing, there's probably some crossposting in this post. __________________ I ♣ baby seals.