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Hmmmm....just looked more closely at the scenario imagined by Saucy with 1 wolf, 1 hunter and 1 innocent....that one is interesting...
In that case, wouldn't it be in the wolf's best interest NOT to kill anyone that Night?
If the wolf takes out the Hunter and dies, wolf loses.
If the wolf takes out the Hunter and the hunter kills the innocent, wolf wins.
If the wolf takes out the innocent, then next day double lynching and wolf loses.
So, only 1 in 3 chance of winning the game. But if the wolf lays low that Night then the next day:
Hunter gets lynched, wolf wins.
Innocent gets lynched, wolf wins.
wolf gets lynched, wolf loses.
So there's a 2 in 3 chance of victory by NOT acting in the NIGHT. All of which leads me to ask two questions:
1) can wolves choose NOT to hunt in a given night? and
2) how much longer can I hold out before playing in another game?
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Scribbling scrabbling.
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