[Nogrod]

Just to inform you all of my doubts so far. Read and think. I myself will be sticking to Roa for a vote tonight.

Roa is a werewolf. My open accusations against her weren’t any fool-proof to begin with, but she meddled everything herself by defending very poorly, making mistakes in almost every post and slipping all the time. Of her guilt I’m positive. Believe me.

My suspicions against Firefoot

1) At early on the game, she was propably even too eager to be at good terms with Folwren – who she had had to know to be a good player (and if she were a wolf, also innocent). And she managed the first day, and liked to point out her being along the same lines with Folwren. After Folwren was killed, she would be seen as her friend, not as her killer.
2) Lining up heavily with Roa, who is a wolf. Just check the posts of this morning and day. She may say, that it would be stupid for wolves to help one another. But it would be very cunning to just actually do it, and then claim innocense on the basis that it would be stupid to act like that, especially when they would really gain on that co-operation! And it’s not a small gain they would reach with this co-op., for these wolves know the situation. And I do fear, that most of us villagers don’t see it!!! With active posting, it is 4 villagers against 3 wolves now. And if Jenny stays away because of the RL, it could be 3-3! They can afford even to reveal themselves, if just today’s vote will lynch an innocent! After next night, the situation would be 3-2 (Jenny being counted again), for the wolves + two sleeping villagers, which both would be needed actively coming in the next day. That I think we can all doubt. The wolves know this. (Anyone believing that Gandalf will really read all that has happened after his last visit, and then be defending the village with a grand effort?)
3) Being as clever and great player as she is, I just can’t believe her not seeing the downfall of Roa during the day. Roa clearly made mistakes the whole day, and kind of underlined my open accusations. If Firefoot would be an ordo, she would have changed her mind to clear facts opening before her eyes. There seems to be other motives behind...
4) Take Firefoot’s message #201 and read it carefully, in the light of the overall situation. Quite wolfish to me. Even pre-seeing my point on 3.

Anyhow: I don’t exactly know, that Firefoot is a wolf. There is a chance, that she is well meaning villager, but one that has consistently been able to ignore the right hints, and has had a totally misinformed interpretation of the overall situation. But I would still stress the case 3 above.

My suspicions against Mithalwen

1) At the early stages some gut-based uncomfortabliness, not more. Not much to go after anyhow. Although I wondered for a second or two last night whether I should vote for her before she voted anyone. Wasn’t so sure about the sanity of such a “random-action”, and we played as we played.
2) Being at Firefoot’s list of probably innocent people brought her to my mind again (see up: Firefoot, case 2).
3) Her clear abstinence today – that was broken only after I made a slight provocation against her to see, whether she would react or not.
4) The rest you can read from the evening’s posts.

I’m very anxious about Mith. There is something, but I’m not sure.

My suspicions against Valier

1) Read the posts of Roa and Firefoot and Mith. You can interpret this unanimity either way. Maybe they have good grounds to suspect her, maybe they show a sign of wolves bandwagoning... You must read it yourselves.
2) A bit weird behaviour, sure. Generates suspicion, but nothing of more value up to this point.

I don’t know about her.