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Old 02-27-2006, 02:31 PM   #382
Farael
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
 
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: In hospitals, call rooms and (rarely) my apartment.
Posts: 1,538
Farael has just left Hobbiton.
Well, the Eomer bandwagon is picking up speed and I don't want to join in to help the wolves that may join it get lost in the noise.

I have to come forward, although I believe I have done it before... I am not nearly as suspicious of Aiwendil as I say I do. There are some inconsistencies, he has defended Eomer today on premises I find flawed and I believe in SOME of the things I've said before, specially that he is not committing too much, and it's really safe. For those who acuse me of playing a 'safe' game by focusing only on one suspect, it is not so as you can see by your own suspicions... Sure, I think I have come up with the second best way to survive Day 1 (The first is being Nilp, which I'm looking forward to do next time around) but it's not a good idea for the long haul.

Now, with regards to my comment that if LMP was a wolf, then so was Aiwendil and if LMP was not a wolf then Aiwendil still was, I'm not sure I said EXACTLY that, but my train of thought was

"Well, Aiwendil has acused some people yet every time he says something about LMP is two or three degrees lower in 'acusation level' than what he says about others. He keeps on bringing LMP up but not putting anything firm against him. If LMP is a wolf, a wolf Aiwendil would be playing a safe game by not raising suspicions against LMP but saying things that in retrospective could be argued that he was."

"On the other hand, he is still playing very cautious. Even if LMP is not a wolf, I would not discard Aiwendil from my list of suspects... and I can't get off his back too much or else, as no-one else really suspects him, it'll be considered a flip-flop and I will get some heat for it." So I tried to mellow down my accusations while still staying consistent to what I have done before

Now I see it is not helping the village at all, and its not getting us any closer to lynch Aiwendil, so here, I explained myself.

Now, I still think Eomer is set between a rock and a hard place... I want to announce to 'the public' that I mean to vote for him. If I vote for anyone else (likely Aiwendil for concistency's sake) it's just because Eomer is already convicted and I want to get fewer names for the wolves to hide on. Of course you could think I am a wolf bailing out on what could be see as bandwaggoning... well, if you think so then lynch me and remember my words above after that.

Now that we have that cleared up, I'd say that right now my true suspect is Eomer (sorry buddy, but you really are in bad shape right now and while you could think that it's what the wolves want us to think, I fear that we might be over-analysing things). There's a bit of a case going on against tar-a but I'm not sure it's quite finished... Morm is actually making more sense than the other times I've seen him around... I'm inclined to trust him but then, it's hard to do so. Same with SPM... he makes sense and that is always scary. I never understood the case against Boromir and looks innocent to me, although I don't have MUCH to go on with.

Just re-reading some posts... did I really say that LMP's innocence IMPLICATED Aiwendil* as a wolf, or rather that it did not absolve him? I can't recall either thinking or 'saying' such thing. I was basing a good chunck of my suspicion of Aiwendil towards LMP's "guilt" but I still think he is being mildly useful but NEVER sticking his neck on the line and you have to agree that is a little odd. Sooner or later, we all find someone we think is wolfish enough as to go after him, Aiwendil has not

And a bone for you all to chew on. Should Eomer be innocent, we will see that the wolves are not above killing a villager to make another look suspicious. If so, why did I survive Night Two if Aiwendil is not a wolf? they'd most likely had gotten rid of two innocents with VERY little possibility of it backfiring on them.

*Edit: Changed a 'him' for Aiwendil... the way I had it, it looked as if I was still talking about LMP. My mistake.
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Last edited by Farael; 02-27-2006 at 02:46 PM.
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