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Originally Posted by Formendacil
Well, it's looking rather dismal for those Kuruharans who are waiting for back-to-back Village Victories.
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Well, I wouldn't be too downhearted. The Wolf:villager ratio will favour us for a few days yet and, cold though it may seem, our chances of finding the remaining Wolves increase as the village population dwindles.
Yesterday's voting record is as follows:
1. Nilpaurion for Eomer (Eomer-1)
2. Tar-ancalime for Boromir88 (Eomer-1; Boromir88-1)
3. Mormegil for Eomer (Eomer-2; Boromir88-1)
4. The Saucepan Man for Eomer of the Rohirrim (Eomer-3; Boromir88-1)
5. Kath for tar-ancalime (Eomer-3; Boromir88-1, tar-ancalime-1)
6. Eomer of the Rohirrim for tar-ancalime (Eomer-3; Boromir88-1, tar-ancalime-2)
7. Aiwendil for tar-ancalime (Eomer-3; Boromir88-1, tar-ancalime-3)
8. Boromir88 for Eomer (Eomer-4; Boromir88-1, tar-ancalime-3)
9. Formendacil for Eomer (Eomer-5; Boromir88-1, tar-ancalime-3)
10. Celuien for tar-ancalime (Eomer-5; Boromir88-1, tar-ancalime-4)
Did not vote: Farael, Glirdan
How useful yesterday's votes are depends, to a degree, on whether tar-ancalime is a Wolf since, if she is, then, depending when (and if) he or she voted, the remaining Wolf may have had little to choose between the two main candidates for lynching. I still believe it quite possible that tar is a Wolf, but I am by no means certain of it. Her vote does look bad but it may well be that the Wolves killed Boro (and so struck lucky again) to make it look that way. And Eomer's plea to Celuien to vote for tar, following his false declaration as the Ranger, speaks in favour of both tar and Celuien.
Nilp and mormegil look pretty good to me for their early votes for Eomer. I am not discounting the possibility of a Wolf-on-Wolf vote there, but it looks unnecessarily risky to me.
I think that we can firmly conclude now that Formendacil is indeed an innocent Fool.
I agree that a solid contribution from him today would be most welcome.
It is difficult to draw much of a conclusion from the votes of Aiwendil and Kath without knowing whether tar is a Wolf. Aiwendil did say earlier in the day that he was more inclined to view Eomer as innocent than tar and I wonder whether a Wolf would have been so bold as to speak up for a fellow Wolf in such a precarious position as Eomer was. Kath's quietness continues to concern me. I'm sorry Kath, but you are giving us so little to go on, it is natural to suspect you. And, when I looked back over the past few days, I noticed that you have been around some of the time without actually saying very much.
Farael is still making me very nervous. He started off yesterday rather ambiguous about Eomer, having first noted that spawn's death made him look almost too suspicious. Later, he made a great play of saying that Eomer was his true suspect, but only after Eomer had already received three votes. He then failed to turn up to vote. I know that he has explained on the village notice board why he didn't vote but I still don't like it, as we have no way of knowing for sure which way he would have voted, had he been here.
As for Glirdan, well I know that he has good reason for his absence, But, again, it means that there is very little by which we can judge him.