[The Saucepan Man]

Here are my thoughts on those that remain.

Farael: If Farael is a Wolf, then he and Aiwendil have been playing a very bold game. That said, it is not beyond the realms of possibility that they were. It kept both him and Aiwendil from serious suspicion for the first few Days. Farael, because it was thought unlikely that a Wolf would come out so strongly against a single villager. And Aiwendil, because Farael's case was, at first at least, quite weak and easily answered by Aiwendil. Having gone strongly against Aiwendil at the beginning, he did, as I recall, rather back off when Aiwendil began to come under serious suspicion. I will have to look back and check the timing of this, but I think that it was on Day 4, when Eomer was lynched, that he declared that he did not suspect Aiwendil as much as his behaviour had indicated. He then said that Eomer was his main suspect, although somewhat ambiguously, but ended up not voting. The next Day, when Aiwendil remained under suspicion (particuarly from mormegil), he voted for himself. It was only yesterday, when Aiwendil was all but doomed, that Farael voted to seal his fate. In short, he is not cleared of suspicion in my mind, although if he is a Wolf, his strategy has been a very risky (albeit effective) one.

Celuien: If Celuien is a Wolf, then she is a brilliant actress. It is, however, possible that she picked up on Eomer's Ranger hints at the end of Day 4 and played along with it to either get tar-anclaime lynched in his place or, at the very least, make herself look more innocent. Yesterday, she started off more sympathetic towards Aiwendil than Farael yet, when it became clear (from what Nilp, Form and I had said) that Aiwendil was likely to be lynched, she was (rather easily, it seems to me) persuaded to vote for Aiwendil. Perhaps a ploy to make herself look innocent for the remainder of the game. Again, therefore, Celuien is not in the clear as far as I am concerned and in fact looks a more probable Wolf than Farael.

Nilpaurion Felagund: Well, if Nilp is a Wolf, he has voted twice for a fellow Wolf. And, in each case, he has voted first, which would have been an unnecessaily risky thing to do. That said, it is possible that, on each Day, he put in a Wolf-on-Wolf vote in the hope that village opinion would move away from the Wolf he had voted for. And, even if it did not, he would end up looking innocent, which indeed he has. However, while one Wolf-on-Wolf vote in these circumstances is plausible, two looks rather foolhardy.

Glirdan: As I said earlier, the only villager not to have voted for a Wolf. His main contribution has been to vote first for two innocents, both of whom were lynched on the Day he voted for them. Perhaps he was picking on likely candidates and attempting to start off bandwaggons. Other than his withdrawn vote for lmp (another likely candidate for lynching before he disappeared), he has not voted since. His silence over the last few Days, followed by his sudden reappearance today might also be regarded as suspicious. But I rather think that it is unlikely behaviour for a Wolf, precisely because it looks so suspicious. Nevertheless, he remains the most likely Wolf out of those remaining.

In summary, I think it most unlikely that Nilp is a Wolf. I can see a case for either Farael or Celuien being a Wolf. And Glirdan is currently the most Wolfish looking of all. Which gives me some doubt as to whether he is in fact a Wolf. Right now, I am almost more inclined to vote for Celuien or Farael than Glirdan.