[The Saucepan Man]

Thanks for that analysis, Nilp, which expands on my thoughts earlier concerning Celuien. I agree that there is a distinct possibility that she was hoping to protect Aiwendil but that, when she realised that the cause was hopeless, she abandoned him.

I have been looking back at Aiwendil's analyses of Glirdan and Celuien on Day 5. The links are here:

Glirdan

Celuien

His conclusions were as follows:

Originally Posted by Aiwendil

Conclusion: He [Glirdan] doesn't look incredibly suspicious to me, but he's certainly worrying me. His votes have all been for innocents who died that DAY. Too obvious for a wolf? Maybe. But somehow he's avoided much suspicion for most of the game.

Originally Posted by Aiwendil

So I'm inclined to think Celuien is probably innocent, at the moment, if only for that reason.

So Aiwendil stated that he viewed neither as particularly suspicious, but said that Celuien was the more likely to be innocent. Would he say that about a fellow Wolf in circumstances where he might himself be revealed (as he was under suspicion that Day)? Morevoer, it is difficult to conclude much from what he says as my own analyses of them reached much the same conclusion as his. Aiwendil continued to state that he thought Celuien most likely innocent yesterday. His main (stated) suspects were Farael and Glirdan. Which leads me wonder whether our Wolf may be one of those two.

Interestingly, Aiwendil voted for Farael on Day 5 to put him ahead of Glirdan and tar-anacalime. Risky if they were both Wolves, but it would have stood to his credit had Farael been lynched and shown to be a Wolf.

This is most certainly a difficult dilemma. If Farael is a Wolf, then he almost deserves to win for his brilliant interplay with Aiwendil. I am hesitant about voting for Glirdan as I think that his pattern of behaviour (silence followed by his sudden appearance today) is just too suspicious for a Wolf. So I am leaning towards Celuien at the moment. But, again, I am hesitant because of Aiwendil's defence of her over the last two Days.

Good grief! It feels like we are almost back to square one. Still, I feel that we have a one in three chance of catching the Wolf today. And, if we are wrong, we will most likely have a one in two chance tomorrow.

I am, however, doubtful of my chances of still being here tomorrow if we do get it wrong, so I would rather like to catch the last Wolf today ...