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Old 03-06-2006, 05:12 PM   #2
Nogrod
Flame of the Ainulindalė
 
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Wearing rat's coat, crowskin, crossed staves in a field behaving as the wind behaves
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Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.Nogrod is wading through the Dead Marshes.
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What I am concerned about, is the possibility of this mass-revelation playing to the hands of the wolf somehow. I've had to concentrate on those RL-exams, and hadn't have time to think this thoroughly over.

I was just wondering, whether in the situation of us all revealing ourselves - and the wolf being out of any suspicion, hiding as an ordo (Ang f.ex.) - the wolf could still make this a winning game, from a quite desperate situation? Wouldn't a wise wolf just try something like this in these circumstances?

Remember. Holby's set of "probably innocents" were Roa, Ang and me. She could have known for sure only two of them. And really knowing even two from us, would be quite fantastic indeed. Roa seems innocent because of revealing THE Ka at the first round of the game (would really be a cunning wolf indeed to kill her partner the very first night!) and Ang has voted Enca consistently for two days untill killed as a WW (wolf killing wolf again?). But after my name, there was the extra focus (oh, my broken english!) in parentheses: "despite the heated posts" - or whatever the exact wording was. So I believe, she had dreamed of me and knew my innocence and tried to show you, that I shouldn't be worth killing anyhow.

This just leaves me with the question of Ang's and Roa's innocence. They both seem innocent to me, they sure do! But that's just the problem. A very good wolf would look just like that!

Now I know, that this revealment tactics would settle the matter concerning the gifteds. What I'm afraid of, is that, which happens after the revelations. The wolf will know the gifteds and kills them one by one (the hunter is a case a bit different), and if the villagers are Gil-like posters, dropping in once aDay, they will be of no match for the wolf.

I am truly ready to back up the revelation-plan, after some more clear arguments in favor of it - and after done some thinking myself. Mainly anyone clearing my fears of a possible jackpot for the wolf with this and the grounded vision of our enhanced probabilities with it. I'm not against the plan as such, just hope that any more experienced players back it up a bit before we go on with it.

Good night (RL)!

PS: Eonwe: we do have one seer left!
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