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Old 03-06-2006, 07:21 PM   #291
Eonwe
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
 
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: In a world grown ever smaller.
Posts: 678
Eonwe has just left Hobbiton.
Silmaril

Man, I do so hate werewolf. All that is going on in my head is playing a bluff-double bluff-triple bluff-nth bluff game.

Anyway, I think Nogrod got some of the math wrong. At least he left out some possiblilities. Consider:

We have one seer left. There have been four nights, and so four dreams. That is five known innocents at least (if two of the dreams were Ranger and Hunter + the seer). At most we have seven (4 dreams, 1 seer, ranger and hunter). We might get lucky and get a ranger save, or at least another seer dream. There are actually quiet allot of possiblities...let me see.

Hmmm. Guys this really is a no brainer. The seer must come out. Just think it over, and know that the ranger will sacrafice himself, and you will get another dream, hopefully narrowing an already small field to two. And taht is a worst case senario. Best case, you have it pretty much wrapped up, if you don't throw it away by waiting one night to long and getting killed.

PS. this post does not show the evolution of my thought prossesses, just the final product, hence the leap to no brainer. Just think about it and perhaps you can draw some diagrams like I did. I swear, werewolf has a hold on my life entirely to great...
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