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Old 03-19-2006, 07:01 AM   #318
tar-ancalime
Shade of Carn Dûm
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: abaft the beam
Posts: 303
tar-ancalime has just left Hobbiton.
Quote:
from Guy: There are 8 men and 10 women. If we systematically lynch men, we get the following:

Day 3 - 6 men, 10 women.
Night 4 - 6, 9
Day 4 - 4, 9
Night 5 - 4, 8
Day 5 - 2, 8
Night 6 - 2, 7
Day 6 - 0, 7

This is the worst case scenario. However, I don't think it will be that bad.
This isn't the whole story. Your Day 6 should read: 0,6 because when we finally get the male Lover (assuming we get him last, worst-case scenario) the female Lover dies too.

That leaves 6 people. Real worst-case? Three innocents, three wolves. Game over.

I think you have an intriguing idea, but it's one that we can't let play out to this conclusion.

This is assuming that at least three wolves are women, which is unlikely, but if the wolves were chosen at random it's not out of the realm of possibility.
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Having fun wolfing it to the bitter end, I see, gaur-ancalime (lmp, ww13)
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