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Old 03-23-2006, 05:22 AM   #575
Cailín
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
 
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Lurking in the shadows.
Posts: 711
Cailín has just left Hobbiton.
Thinlómien… Before I continue, I'd like to explain why double-lynching is more beneficial in principle (though admittedly, there is a slight flaw that has to do with the Seer). If we had not lynched Glirdan or TGWBS yesterDay, we would probably have done so toDay as they were the most suspicious characters. This would give the wolves two nightly kills instead of one. If we as villagers can double-lynch, we hold the power. The only downside is that the Seer only has one dream per three people dying. That makes me unsure whether we should double-lynch toDay. Actually, I think not.

Caranlondien
tar-ancalime
Cailín
Naria
Valier
Lalaith
Thinlómien
Formendacil
littlemanpoet
Gurthang
SamwiseGamgee


Amidst these people are still two werewolves.

I know I am not one. I am not certain about anyone else. My intuition tells me Caranlondien, tar-ancalime and Gurthang are innocent and I will consider them so for the moment.

Naria was under suspicion yesterDay. TGWBS -known ordinary- voted for her, as well as Formendacil. Celuien analysed her and came up with nothing. The general consensus was suspicious, quiet, cryptic and yet not overly so. I'd love to hear more from her toDay. I remain undecided.

Valier is quiet. Too quiet. I do not suspect her, really, but I need more active participation.

Lalaith is a controversial person. She seems genuine, and yet she is known for her ability to stay under the radar. I will go through her posts again toDay.

Thinlomien… I do still suspect her a little. Skimming through her posts, I see she has brought up quite a lot of theories and disagrees with them immediately afterwards (her legendary indecisiveness I presume), but none of the things she says particularly make sense. Sorry, Lommy, I just don't quite follow your stream of thoughts. Now I don't know whether swaying is Lommy's style or not -having never played with her before- but I'd normally suspect anyone behaving in such a matter. But - the cluelessness that shimmers through her posts leads me to believe she is innocent again. So I guess I am indecisive as well.

Formendacil seems more innocent as the days go by. His vote for Naria yesterDay was rather safe, and yet he expected more people to vote than who eventually did, so he might really have been pushing for a lynch of someone he just thought more likely to be wolfish. He did from the start say he did not consider TGWBS or Glirdan specially wolfish… so he has been consistent and maybe perhaps right in the end. His vote for Kath earlier was very innocent looking, too. If Formendacil is a wolf, he is playing a remarkably cunning game. I know he is smart, but is he that smart? Possibly. I shan't be underestimating him.

Littlemanpoet… recent events make him look less good. He's eager to point them out himself, though. He seems like ever - remarkably self-assured and convinced of his own insight (). His persecution of Guy yesterDay was too strong to be wolvish, and yet littlemanwolf(?) has been in a rather safe, unsuspected position thus far, allowing him to be more frank. I must analyse him toDay - yet find him still not overly suspicious.

SamwiseGamgee I just don't get at all. While he does seem innocent, his vote for Lhunardawen was the most suspicious one of the Day. Seeing he was all in agreement with Eomer over the double-lynch thing, I would have thought he'd vote for Kath or Farael at that point. Also, twice in a row SamwiseGamgee's 'buddy' has been eaten by wolves (Eomer is obvious, Celuien and he had some friendly exchanges yesterDay). Anyone volunteer to analyse this banker?
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