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Old 04-05-2006, 12:49 PM   #371
Roa_Aoife
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
 
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Someday, I'll rule all of it.
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You make a good point.

Actually, here are my thoughts on suspicion:

Alcarillo hasn't been around. If he pops up today, he'll remain on my radar, but in my experience, players with such low activity are just innocents who don't have time to give proper attention to the game. I hate this kind of play, but it's unlikely he's a Cat.

I'm almost positive that Morm's turn around on Eonwe shows her innocense. If Form is telling the truth, then I can't know about Garin, but if not, then my bet is Garin is also innocent. Morm strikes me as the intelligent sort, and I don't think he would make an unknown appear innocent when he knew his posts would be looked at in the event of his death.

That leaves me and Farael on the list of unknowns. I know that I'm not a Cat, even though the rest of you don't. So that leaves Farael in my mind. If he isn't a Cat, then my next look would be Kath. Others still living can look at Garin. I wish someone else would do the analysis, too, but I'll do what I must.

If Kath is a Cat, then I know Form is a Cat. If Kath isn't a Cat, then I know Garin or Alca is a Cat.

So, since we can't be certain of Form, I suggest we lynch Farael today. If he isn't a Cat, we lynch Kath. In the meantime, if Form is telling the truth, he can dream about Garin.

If he's telling the Truth, that would reveal either Garin or myself as the final Cat. If he isn't, then we'll know when Kath is lynched.

Scenario 1: Form and Farael are telling the truth

We lynch Farael and find him innocent
Eonwe Dies (You're the only positive innocent. Sorry dear.)
Form Dreams of Garin and learns his identity. Since we can't be sure of his word, We lynch Kath, who would show herself to not be a Cat, and we would know Form is telling the truth
Form most likely dies
We lynch whoever Form revealed

Scenario 2: Form is lying, but Farael isn't
We lynch Farael and find him innocent
Eonwe Dies
We lynch Kath, who would then reveal herself to be a Cat, and we would know Form is lying
Anyone could die here
We lynch Form and the Game is over

Scenario 3: Form and Farael are lying
We lynch Farael and prove he's guilty, but the game continues
Anyone dies, since we would know Form was lying at this point
We lynch Form and end the game

Note: These scenarios ignore Alcarillo (See first paragraph)

Edit: Adding the other scenario, which I believe to be the correct one.

Scenario 4: Farael is lying and Form isn't
We lynch Farael and the game ends
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Last edited by Roa_Aoife; 04-05-2006 at 12:51 PM. Reason: forgot a scenario
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