Post written at Night, to be posted asap Day 2, before reading anyone else’s Day 2 posts.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Roa
Hey, analyzing posters like a certain penguin lover by the name Thin is hard work.  |
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Egg-Nog
They have proved to be useful many times...
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True -- analyzing can be useful to find patterns in people’s behavior. But it can also be a great tool for Werecreatures. Not only can they make a show of being helpful, they can recast other players’ comments and actions in the light which they want the rest of the village to see things. In that sense I view these things with caution. I think everyone has their own idea of what constitutes as Substantial posting, and I find it more substantial when posts have a bit of theorizing and discussion besides a review of what other players have done.
That said, I am now going to do a player-by-player analysis, because it is Night as I type, and I have nothing better to do. If a Wereorc kills me and I don’t get to post it, I will be very grumpy, and possibly break things.
Nogrod
The first person to post after the opener, therefore the first person I will analyze.
#2 Opens a discussion about the Shaman dreams, suggests that each dreamer comes forward right away with what they know.
#4 Responds to Celiuen’s questioning of the wisdom of his plan. Suggests everyone comment on his and Celuien’s ideas.
#6 Say Roa’s point is good, declares intent to sleep.
#28 Responds to Naria, saying he’s not pushing his idea. Says there is no way the Orcs could benefit from open revelations. Expresses uncertainty about own plan.
#34 Responds to Spawn, disagreeing that we will be able to know about dreams after the dreamer dies. Responds to Jenny. Says now his plan is badly flawed, and continues on to explain why: the Shaman will dream about the most experienced and cleverest of players and if/when their innocence is exposed for certain, we will lose them to the Orcs.
#40 Agrees with Jenny that agreeable posts are suspicious. Adds that clearly flawed reasoning is also suspicious. Finds all who discount the possibility of finding an Orc on Day 1 to be suspicious. Says anyone fighting a good idea is an Orc. Does an analysis of the players.
#43 Restates dislike of the “I Agree Movement.” Does another analysis.
#53 Uh, I don’t get this post.
#56 Questions the deadline.
#58 Asks Findëasëa to bold her vote.
#60 Talks about post 53, responds to Farael.
#62 Gives vote count, wonders about Diamond and Glirdan, wants to hear from Diamond.
#68 Responds to Zali, talks more about the dreams, responds to Kitanna, about the dreams, restates abandonment of early plan and defends his earlier reasons for it.
#72 Responds to Sleepy, is puzzled by Sleepy’s behavior.
#75 Is glad to see Diamond, declares his suspicions dropped for the time being.
#80 Posts current vote count, gives opinion on Sleepy (still puzzled) Glirdan (doesn’t think he looks as bad as some think) and Diamond (feels innocent).
#87 Still thinking about who to vote for, mentions usefulness of Diamond and Glirdan so doesn’t like them having the most votes, inclined to kill Sleepy but only has one vote to give and notes it will take two.
#90 Votes for Sleepy per Sleepy’s request, knowing it will have no bearing on the Day’s outcome.
#94 Responds to Diamond, saying analyzing is useful.
#98 Responds to LiS.
Second to post after the opener was:
Celuien
#3 Questions the wisdom of Nogrod’s plan, calls for caution and secrecy for dreamer’s, suggests the use of hints.
#8 Makes short responses to Nogrod and Roa.
#14 Kicks off the analysis process, reviewing the posts so far and listing those who have not yet posted. Makes joking accusations of Grendelien, Sleepy and Spawn based on similar occupations.
#15 Declares hatred of Day 1 and random voting.
#35 Responds to Spawn, says she has a good point about hinting. Says there isn’t much to talk about right now.
#47 Votes for Diamond, saying she was too agreeable and chatty. Lists Nogrod, Caran, Spawn, Kitanna, and Caran as unsuspicious. Gives the newbies the benefit of the doubt. Says Glirdan bears watching, and is noncommittal about Roa, Sleepy, Naria, wants to hear from Zali.
#69 Finds Sleepy strange, doubts own vote for Diamond.
#74 Responds to Sleepy’s response, says he’s not off the hook. Notes Jenny’s suspicion of Nogrod and says Nogrod seems reasonable and innocent so far.
#79 Says she’s starting to feel bad about vote for Diamond.
#82 Posts observation about LiS not being invisible.
Third to post was:
Roa_Aoife
#5 Makes observations on the dreams.
#11 Responds to Caran, says she has good point about the dreamers having say in what they do with the info. Encourages discussion and strategy despite it being Day 1.
#16 Responds briefly to Jenny’s tongue-in-cheek accusation of too suspicious innocence.
#30 Gets Naria and Nogrod confused, asks for explanation about Nogrod comment in post 28.
#42 Apologizes for confusion, responds to Spawn’s question about post 16.
#48 Says most suspicious of Diamond and Glirdan, votes for Glirdan.
#55 Posts about deadline and timezones.
#71 Calls Sleepy a dork.
#76 Responds to Nogrod, speculates on Diamond’s life expectancy.
#78 Posts current vote count, says Diamond is slated for death.
#81 Lists who has not voted.
#93 Responds to Diamond, saying analysis can be hard. (Diamond, now exhausted, must agree with her, and would like to state that analysis is a bitch.)
Fourth to post was Diamond.
Fifth to post was Glirdan.
I will not be analyzing these people for obvious reasons.
Sixth to post was:
Caranlondien
#10 Agrees with Celuien about dreaming and suggests discretion is in order.
#19 Restates opinion on dreaming and says it seems everyone is in agreement. Responds to Diamond’s tongue-in-cheek accusation with in character comment.
#32 Points out Naria/Nogrod confusion on Roa’s part.
#39 Responds to Celuien, says she doesn’t know what she’ll do if she gets a dream. Compliments Spawn’s analysis. Says everyone seems suspicious at the moment.
#41 Sympathizes with newbies. Finds Diamond most suspicious based on Nogrod and Spawn’s lists. Finds Sleepy suspicious.
#64 Responds to Zali, denies that she agreed dreamers should come straight out, says she said opposite. Is torn between Sleepy and Diamond but finds Diamond having least substance and votes for Diamond.
Seventh to post was:
JennyHallu
#13 Mostly all in character, but talks about having thought about the Shaman dreams and says she agrees with Celuien.
#29 Says she’ll be in and out. Says to quit obsessing over the dreams and agreeing with each other, says to focus on finding and Orc.
#49 Says Nogrod, Diamond, and Sleepy are most suspicious.
#54 Votes for Diamond saying not enough substance. (Diamond finds this whole trend highly annoying and no fun at all, and thinks Jenny is one to talk, but then she’s already spoken her piece about that.
)
Eighth to post was:
Kitanna
#17 Talks about Shaman dreams, expresses doubt about Nogrod’s plan.
#38 Reviews the Day’s activity so far.
#63 More reviewing. Votes for Sleepy, because of general annoyance over his play.
Ninth to post was:
Findëasëa/
#25 In character, then agrees about keeping dreams secret.
#57 Votes for Glirdan and cites lack of substance and posts.
Tenth to post was:
Grendelien
#26 In character, talks about the dreams, agrees with Caran.
#85 Agrees that Diamond is suspicious but points out that analysis based posts could be a diversion. Votes for Glirdan because s/he is suspicious of those who have voted for Diamond. (I’m not sure I understand this, since Glirdan didn’t vote for me.)
#88 Apologizes for spelling Nogrod’s name wrong.
Eleventh to post was:
Naria
#27 Apologizes for late show, agrees about being quiet about dreams.
#37 Responds to Roa, elaborates on stance.
Twelfth to post was:
Sleepy Ranger
#31 Declares intent to vote randomly.
#45 Says he doesn’t like Day 1 and always votes randomly.
#50 Says he dislikes people who put down random voting, votes for Jenny because of that.
#67 Says Caran should have voted for him instead of Diamond.
#70 Responds to Celuien and says he’s strange and contradictory in general. Says he’s been trying to get lynched.
#77 Says he wants to get lynched or die in the night but will play normally if that doesn’t happen. Supports Diamond. (Should I be worried about this dubious vote of confidence?)
#83 Begs Nogrod to vote for him.
#89 Asks Nogrod again to vote for him.
#92 Is happy Nogrod voted for him, asks Wereorcs to please kill him.
Thirteenth to post was:
dancing spawn of ungoliant
#33 Says that she would rather have reasoned posts than obscure hints about dreams, but says dreamers can decide for themselves what to do.
#36 Reviews the Day so far, expresses suspicion of Diamond, Roa, Findëasëa, and Sleepy.
#46 Votes for Roa.
Fourteenth to post was:
Azaelia of Willowbottom
#52 Apologizes for lateness, talks about dreaming, agrees with the usual.
#61 Posts analysis of Day, categorizes players as: innocent (herself, Spawn) Watch me! (Diamond, Sleepy, Glirdan) hasn’t shown up (LiS) Don’t know (Caranlondien, Nogrod, Grendelien, Findëasëa, Celuien, Glirdan, Naria, Roa_Aoife, Kitanna, Jenny)
#84 Responds to Caran, says her decision is between Sleepy and Glirdan, gives Diamond benefit of the doubt, votes Glirdan.
Last to post was
Legolas in spandex
#97 Post after Day has ended, expresses confusion, apologizes for missing Day 1.