[Celuien]

NB: This was written while the ‘Downs was down yesterday, so not all of it is as detailed as I’d like. I’ll write some more about Roa now that I have access to the village records again.

Hurray for the Ranger! A second time!

Nogrod: While possible that Zali is lying about her identity, I still doubt it, despite her longevity as a revealed gifted. Why?

Zali has lived three nights as a revealed gifted. On those four nights, the Orcs attacked
1) Dancing Spawn (nights one and two)
2) Diamond18
3) ?

Now, it is still my belief that Spawn was mistaken for the Shaman on Day 1, and that this was the reason for her being targeted on Night 1, and again on Night 2, when the Orcs knew she could no longer be protected. I’m still unsure why Diamond was killed. As for last night, I think I was the most likely intended victim (for obvious reasons) and was saved by Zali. I admit to appearing very, very Shamanish. Because someone potentially handing out dreams is more dangerous than the Ranger. That would nicely explain both Zali’s surviving the night and the save – I think I’d be a fairly obvious candidate for both death and protection. I really hope that I was the one. It would clear things up immensely today.

By the way, if Zali isn’t telling the truth, today would be a good time for the true Ranger to speak up, considering the ratio of unknowns to wolves (5:2).

If not me, I think it was you, Nogrod. Even if not the Shaman, you’ve been very insightful, and as a now-proven innocent, you make an extremely formidable opponent for the Orcs.

As for Naria, I have my reasons for tending to trust her, although I haven’t dreamed of her. I have my reasons for not saying more. Please bear with me.

As for my own behavior, I know it’s been odd for the past couple of days. But please, humor me for a few hours more. I’ll probably post a full explanation later. But not now, since part of the explanation will depend on whether or not I was the one guarded last night, though I’ll probably explain even if I wasn’t the one.

By dream/Ranger criteria, the last two Orcs are to be found among Celuien, Caran, Roa, Naria or Grendelien. Hopefully, there’s at least one more dream out there to exonerate some of this group.

I know I’m innocent, and, like I said, I have my reasons about Naria (unless something really changes today), so that leaves Caran, Roa, or Grendelien.

I voted for Roa yesterday. This was based largely on what happened with Spawn on day 1. My theorized sequence of events went that Spawn voted for Roa, and was then suspected of being the Shaman and targeted on Night 1, the Orcs being willing to sacrifice one of their number (Roa), to eliminate the Shaman and prevent further incriminating dreams. This continued to neatly explain Spawn’s death on night 2, since her suspicion of Roa waned, and if the Orcs continued to think she was the Shaman, or if they decided to act on the idea that we thought they attacked Spawn the first night in the scenario above, it would actually be less dangerous for Roa since they would now be able to show that Roa couldn’t have been the dream from Shaman-suspect Spawn.


At any rate, I would advocate lynching either Roa, Caran, or Grendelien today. If we make a mistake today, the remaining Orcs will then be identified. And the numbers will go like this:

NOW: 7:2
If incorrect, then
TOMORROW: 5:2
Then we’d know who to get, so we’d end the day at 5:1, start the next day at 4:1 and then win the game.