[The Saucepan Man]

I’m here! Sorry I’m late.

I was pretty much convinced yesterday that Mith was the Owl and Glirdan was the Goose. That appears to have been borne out by the Night’s events so, unless anything happens to indicate the contrary, I am going to continue working on that basis.

And on that basis, we currently have two known innocents: Mith and myself. We should be able to add another to that list when Mith arrives, assuming that she did not dream of Glirdan.

I am not prepared wholly to discount those who voted for Jenny. Precisely because it suggests their innocence so strongly, any of those votes could have been a Duck-on-Duck vote, calculated to establish credibility, possibly for the remainder of the game. Even Valier’s vote does not establish her innocence, because, for a Duck to vote for morm (a useful villager, if innocent) at that stage would have made her look suspicious. And it would probably have condemned her as and when Jenny was subsequently lynched and found to be guilty.

I remain suspicious of morm too. At the time he voted, it was likely to be either he or Jenny that was lynched. What better time for a duck-on-Duck vote? One of them was almost certain to die. With them both voting for each other, whichever survived would gain great credibility.

Of the non-Jenny voters, Lote, Kath and Nogrod remain unknowns.

I would like to go back and review Nogrod’s contributions post-Day 1, but I can recall nothing that made me question his innocence. Then again, after Mith’s declaration, I was working on the basis that he was a known innocent, and so it is possible that I missed something.

I can’t see that Kath’s vote for morm in itself indicates guilt. Morm was looking very suspicious to me yesterday (and, as I have noted, he still does), so I think it was a reasonable vote. However, combined with her vote from the day before, she is looking suspicious if morm is innocent.

Lote’s vote for Mith I find exceedingly suspicious. Mith is now proven almost certainly to be the Owl. A Duck, suspecting this to be the case, may well have been looking to steer the village towards voting for her, using Glirdan’s (Goosey) declaration to paint her claim as false. Remember that, the day before, Jenny was strongly in favour of believing Glirdan rather than Mith. Perhaps it was the Ducks’ strategy to try to get Mith lynched yesterday and hope to hide their own vote or votes among others’ votes for her. I wonder whether we have been overlooking Lote too much by virtue of her “Newbie” status?

Back later with more thoughts, once I have had an opportunity to review everything once more.