To answer your point about the Nightingale, SPM, I'm not sure that revealing themselves would be a great deal of help to us. We need a situation toNight where the Nightingale and the Duck go for the same person. If the Nightingale reveals themselves the Duck will probably go for them. That still leaves us one innocent down, and it's more of a blow to the village.
As to your ideas about Nogrod, they do make sense. I have been uncomfortable with the way he has been trying to discredit Mith, especially after her death when she cannot argue her corner. All it did was sow confusion.
Nogrod's arguments about SPM possibly being the Duck seem well-founded. It is true to say that SPM had no (or very little) suspicion directed his way on Day 1, but actually Nogrod, that's quite normal. People don't tend to start suspecting SPM for a couple of Days, and therefore your idea that the Ducks would want to kill him first Night seems off to me. The difference in opinion here may just be that I've played more games with him though.
As for Cailin, I want to hear from her/him toDay before I make any decisions on that front.
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.”
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