Cailin I don't see your logic. The way I see it, Mith was the Owl and dreamt of SPM on Night 2 and found him innocent. If the Ducks chose to kill SPM after Mith received her dream then yes, he could be a Duck, but that is a pretty slim chance I feel, and far less likely than the scenario where Nogrod is the Duck.
As SPM says, Nogrod was not under a great deal of suspicion that first Day. But I should say he was a good choice for a first kill. He has proved himself to be a formidable player in the past.
Have you any other reasons for believing Nogrod innocent? Because at the moment the arguments for his guilt are far more compelling.
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