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Old 05-14-2006, 05:36 PM   #214
Celuien
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Assigned to Mordor
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Celuien has just left Hobbiton.
SPM:
63: Pointed out that the EW was unlikely to select likely Seer dream candidates or likely lynching targets. Doubted Loki was chosen by the EW. Provided this list of possible EW picks:

1 of Cailín, Lalaith, Caranlondien or Celuien
1 of Valier, Kitanna, Azaelia or Naria, Oddwen, or Alcarillo
1 of Roa, Firefoot, Diamond or Gurthang

Wanted to unearth the EW.

64: Initial suspicion of Gurthang for bringing up searching for the wizard because he included both the EW and GW in his plan. Suggests that the GW should remain hidden, was therefore wary of Lhuna for suggesting that the GW should declare.

114: Said that the EW almost certainly has experience with werewolves, doubts that anyone likely to be scryed of dreamed of early is the EW. Finds it unlikely that any “big names” were selected night one due to risk of dream/lynching and there is plenty of time to recruit from the “big names.” Says Loki is disregarded as a wolf because he is a likely day 1 lynch. Says that Azaelia, Oddwen, Alcarillo, Roa, Diamond or Gurthang are the most likely to have been chosen by the EW since they are the ones from his prior list least likely to have been chosen by the GW as gifteds.

117: Wants to avoid deliberately outing the GW, replies to Jenny about his opinions of Loki. Doesn’t want to vote for Oddwen as he feels her non-vote makes her too conspicuous to be a likely move for a wolf.

193: Vote for Alcarillo because he would have been one of SPM’s picks if he had been the EW.

If I operate under the assumption that SPM was killed for getting something right, this looks bad for Azaelia, Oddwen, Alcarillo, Roa, Diamond or Gurthang. I wonder, though, if Alcarillo would have agreed to the wolvish plan of attack on Saucy as it’s a little too risky a position to put him in since he voted for SPM yesterday as well as being voted for by SPM.

Back later…
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