View Single Post
Old 05-20-2006, 09:37 PM   #740
mormegil
Maundering Mage
 
mormegil's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 4,651
mormegil is a guest at the Prancing Pony.mormegil is a guest at the Prancing Pony.
Zali analysis

Post 104

Basically, she says that it's not fair that we single people as as being either unlikely or likely to be a gifted/wolf pick and she might be more likely because the GW might want an unlikely pick. It's a fairly innocuous first post.

Post 113

Clarification on time zones and how much time she has left.

Post 196

Okay this post really stands out to me as opposed to the previous posts. Here she states categorically that finding the EW is the most important. Then states that Loki is acting a bit odd but she doesn't think he's the EW. Goes on to give herself an escape route for her 'band wagon' vote saying that she doesn't like band wagons but thinks that Loki is guilty herself. This is the first of multiple escape routes that she leaves herself. Also if you don't think he's the EW but you think it most important to find the EW why not give us your idea of who the EW is?

Post 227

Another fairly odd post. Laments her decision to vote Loki as hers was the deciding vote. I'm never keen on people being overly sad about their vote choice, if you believe him guilty you believe him guilty. Then she talks about SpM being chosen to be killed. This could be taken either way so I'll leave it alone.

Post 349

Again apologizes for voting on the band wagon and gives her explination that her main suspects coincide with the top lynch candidate. She thinks Alcarillo's over defensiveness is proof that he's innocent because she acts the same way when innocent. Then give a great line of asking forgiveness of voting for Nogrod if he's innocent.

Post 382

Has some in character bemoaning of the phantom's death but then turns around and now she suspects Alcarillo of his in character over reaction. In her cross post comment she is beginning to suspect Eomer as well. It seems that she is either extremely easily influenced or intentionally influenced because as a wolf it's easier to blend in with the current theory than invent you own. She's beginning to look bad to me at this point.

Post 387

This is the notorious post that has already been analyzed ad nauseum and in real time this was the one that made me suspect her the most and now it only fortifies my feeling. Please reread and notice the escape route given and apology. It is note worthy to remember that Nilp found this extremely odd as well in this post.

Post 698

She immediately informs us that this will be a defense and states that "This goes back a bit, I know, but I thought I ought to set up a defence." After that she goes on to say that Alcarillo's in character stuff wasn't helpful, which I agree, but I also think Zali's has been a bit much and unhelpful also. I also get the impression that she feels a lot of pressure and is worried about things...both good signs of being a wolf.

Post 699

Post immediately after the last and states that she's innocent. Goes on to describe why she wouldn't be the worst lynch case but we could do better.

Post 700

A triple post telling us to not waste our votes on her because she is not the EW and it has to be obvious that she isn't. I would agree on that point but I don't agree that she's not a wolf.

Post 711

Quotes Caran quoting me and defends herself on the charge of voting for the top candidate. She says she learned that lesson but did it because she found them suspicious. She changes her pattern of voting and votes for Alcarillo against the 'list of doom' and thinks that we shouldn't forget him. I think this is a good thing too and could speak to her favor in that she has legitimate concerns over him and wants us to remember him or that she wants to appear such. I cannot determine how it's meant but good advice either way.

That's all but I think her post analysis paints a decent picture that she could be guilty, but there are a couple of points upon which she seems to be innocent.

This takes a long time. I have no idea how I will do this for somebody who posts more frequently.
__________________
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.
"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.”
mormegil is offline   Reply With Quote