I have to say a first day vote for SpM is odd.
He rings true to me at the moment (of course he could be playing a blinder) and I don't expect anyone else to trust my instinct since even I don't always find them reliable. However even if he had not posted a word the simple fact is, if he is innocent he is a likely early target for the wolves - and he knows it... similarly he is a likely early pick for the seer. He is unlikely to remain an unknown quantity for long. Unless Kath is following in D18's footsteps and not telling eek - I can't see anything in the destructions.
While ending his dissolute lifestyle and redistributing his wealth might find favour in some quarters, he is extremely clever - If he is innocent we may as well make the most of his brain. If he is guilty - well he is a "talker" ..the more people talk the more they may give away.
All this seems so obvious that I have to suspect those who have voting for SpM.
Of course if he does turn out to be a wolf .. well that is my neck well and truly stuck out...