I have just re-read Caran's posts from yesterday (among others) and come to much the same conclusion. Or, more accurately, they have confirmed the impression which I expressed earlier.
I am tempted to add my vote to the gathering clamour for her to be lynched.
Her original vote for me yesterday was based upon entirely specious reasoning. Apparently, I was instructing the Changeling how to win on the Wolves' side (as if she had not already worked it out for herself

), yet it remains the case that the Changeling has a much better chance of winning if she plays for the village. The fact that some people might regard going for the Wolfish victory as an appealing challenge does not detract from the logic of what I was saying.
Then all the to-ing and fro-ing about whether to change her vote for me, apparently grounded on firm suspicions (as to which, see above) but not firm enough to prevent her from changing her vote when it looked like I might be lynched.
I do have one resevation, though. In #101, she actually admitted that she was looking to place a safe vote, ie a vote for someone who was unlikely to be lynched. Would a Wolf admit that?