Actually, I have believed Nogrod to be the Seer since the Day Saucie died. Anyone would have voted for Saucy at that point, only the Seer who knows he's innocent would have refused and be desperate to kill Mormegil. If you check WWXI, you'll see I did the exact same thing as the Seer.
It was weird that the wolves never quite picked up on that. So now I am not sure anymore.
But risking utter humiliation and defeat, I say I believe Nogrod. Also because I want to believe him: that would mean I am an excellent Seer-identifier.
I cannot believe Nogrod has been plotting to reveal himself as a false Seer from the start.
So Lommy: you are a liar and a wolf.
++THINLOMIEN
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